Fasfous Maryam W, Abdel-Fattah Mohamed N, Ibrahim Sarah A
Department of Biostatistics and Demography, Faculty of Graduate Studies for Statistical Research, Cairo University, Cairo 12613, Egypt.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2025 Aug 6;22(8):1228. doi: 10.3390/ijerph22081228.
Fertility is considered a significant demographic concern, especially in relation to climate change. This study examines how awareness of climate change, measured by five subscales-climate-friendly behavior, knowledge, personal concern, attitude, and multiplicative action-affects fertility intentions, emphasizing the mediating role of threat perception. Data were collected through an online survey administered to a sample of 817 Palestinian citizens aged 18-49 residing in the West Bank. Structural equation modeling (SEM) was utilized for the data analysis. The results revealed that climate change awareness does not directly affect fertility intentions. However, an indirect effect of climate change awareness on fertility intentions was observed, mediated by threat perception as an intervening variable. Individuals exhibiting increased awareness of climate change and perceptions of future risks demonstrated a greater likelihood of reducing their fertility intentions compared to others. Policymakers in the Palestinian territories should prioritize enhancing public awareness regarding climate change and its associated short- and long-term threats. Therefore, incorporating climate education and associated risks into fertility health programs is essential.
生育能力被视为一个重要的人口统计学问题，尤其是与气候变化相关。本研究考察了通过五个子量表——气候友好行为、知识、个人关注、态度和乘法行动——衡量的气候变化意识如何影响生育意愿，强调威胁感知的中介作用。数据通过对居住在约旦河西岸的817名18 - 49岁巴勒斯坦公民样本进行的在线调查收集。采用结构方程模型（SEM）进行数据分析。结果显示，气候变化意识并不直接影响生育意愿。然而，观察到气候变化意识通过作为中介变量的威胁感知对生育意愿产生间接影响。与其他人相比，表现出对气候变化意识增强和对未来风险感知的个体更有可能降低其生育意愿。巴勒斯坦领土的政策制定者应优先提高公众对气候变化及其相关短期和长期威胁的认识。因此，将气候教育及相关风险纳入生育健康计划至关重要。
