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一种机器学习方法,用于识别与晚期黑色素瘤患者纳武利尤单抗清除相关的预后细胞因子特征。

A Machine-Learning Approach to Identify a Prognostic Cytokine Signature That Is Associated With Nivolumab Clearance in Patients With Advanced Melanoma.

机构信息

Oncology Translational Medicine, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Lawrenceville, New Jersey, USA.

Information and Data Management, Bristol-Myers Squibb, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA.

出版信息

Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2020 Apr;107(4):978-987. doi: 10.1002/cpt.1724. Epub 2019 Dec 19.


DOI:10.1002/cpt.1724
PMID:31721173
Abstract

Lower clearance of immune checkpoint inhibitors is a predictor of improved overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced cancer. We investigated a novel approach using machine learning to identify a baseline composite cytokine signature via clearance, which, in turn, could be associated with OS in advanced melanoma. Peripheral nivolumab clearance and cytokine data from patients treated with nivolumab in two phase III studies (n = 468 (pooled)) and another phase III study (n = 158) were used for machine-learning model development and validation, respectively. Random forest (Boruta) algorithm was used for feature selection and classification of nivolumab clearance. The 16 top-ranking baseline inflammatory cytokines reflecting immune-cell modulation were selected as a composite signature to predict nivolumab clearance (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.75; accuracy = 0.7). Predicted clearance (high vs. low) via the cytokine signature was significantly associated with OS across all three studies (P < 0.01), regardless of treatment (nivolumab vs. chemotherapy).

摘要

免疫检查点抑制剂清除率较低是晚期癌症患者总生存期(OS)改善的预测指标。我们研究了一种使用机器学习的新方法,通过清除率来识别基线复合细胞因子特征,进而与晚期黑色素瘤的 OS 相关。使用来自两项 III 期研究(n=468(汇总))和另一项 III 期研究(n=158)中接受纳武利尤单抗治疗的患者的外周纳武利尤单抗清除率和细胞因子数据,分别用于机器学习模型的开发和验证。随机森林(Boruta)算法用于纳武利尤单抗清除率的特征选择和分类。选择 16 个排名最高的基线炎症细胞因子作为复合标志物,以预测纳武利尤单抗清除率(曲线下面积(AUC)=0.75;准确性=0.7)。通过细胞因子特征预测的清除率(高 vs. 低)在所有三项研究中均与 OS 显著相关(P<0.01),无论治疗(纳武利尤单抗 vs. 化疗)如何。

相似文献

[1]
A Machine-Learning Approach to Identify a Prognostic Cytokine Signature That Is Associated With Nivolumab Clearance in Patients With Advanced Melanoma.

Clin Pharmacol Ther. 2019-12-19

[2]
Development of a prognostic composite cytokine signature based on the correlation with nivolumab clearance: translational PK/PD analysis in patients with renal cell carcinoma.

J Immunother Cancer. 2019-12-11

[3]
Exposure-Response Analysis of Nivolumab in Patients With Previously Treated or Untreated Advanced Melanoma.

J Clin Pharmacol. 2017-12

[4]
Baseline neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio combined with serum lactate dehydrogenase level associated with outcome of nivolumab immunotherapy in a Japanese advanced melanoma population.

Br J Dermatol. 2018-7

[5]
MicroRNAs that predict the effectiveness of anti-PD-1 therapies in patients with advanced melanoma.

J Dermatol Sci. 2020-1

[6]
Baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and derived NLR could predict overall survival in patients with advanced melanoma treated with nivolumab.

J Immunother Cancer. 2018-7-16

[7]
Nivolumab for adjuvant treatment of desmoplastic malignant melanoma: A case report.

J Dermatol. 2020-1

[8]
Survival Outcomes in Patients With Previously Untreated BRAF Wild-Type Advanced Melanoma Treated With Nivolumab Therapy: Three-Year Follow-up of a Randomized Phase 3 Trial.

JAMA Oncol. 2019-2-1

[9]
Severe colitis after PD-1 blockade with nivolumab in advanced melanoma patients: potential role of Th1-dominant immune response in immune-related adverse events: two case reports.

BMC Cancer. 2019-10-29

[10]
A Serum Protein Signature Associated with Outcome after Anti-PD-1 Therapy in Metastatic Melanoma.

Cancer Immunol Res. 2017-12-5

引用本文的文献

[1]
Optimizing Immunotherapy: The Synergy of Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors with Artificial Intelligence in Melanoma Treatment.

Biomolecules. 2025-4-16

[2]
Transparency and Representation in Clinical Research Utilizing Artificial Intelligence in Oncology: A Scoping Review.

Cancer Med. 2025-3

[3]
A risk prediction model for venous thromboembolism in hospitalized patients with thoracic trauma: a machine learning, national multicenter retrospective study.

World J Emerg Surg. 2025-2-13

[4]
Advancing Precision Medicine: A Review of Innovative In Silico Approaches for Drug Development, Clinical Pharmacology and Personalized Healthcare.

Pharmaceutics. 2024-2-27

[5]
Application of SHAP values for inferring the optimal functional form of covariates in pharmacokinetic modeling.

CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol. 2022-8

[6]
Antibody Drug Clearance: An Underexplored Marker of Outcomes with Checkpoint Inhibitors.

Clin Cancer Res. 2024-3-1

[7]
Therapeutic drug monitoring of immune checkpoint inhibitors: based on their pharmacokinetic properties and biomarkers.

Cancer Chemother Pharmacol. 2023-9

[8]
Machine Learning Approaches for Predicting Psoriatic Arthritis Risk Using Electronic Medical Records: Population-Based Study.

J Med Internet Res. 2023-3-28

[9]
A comprehensive regulatory and industry review of modeling and simulation practices in oncology clinical drug development.

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn. 2023-6

[10]
Predictive models and early postoperative recurrence evaluation for hepatocellular carcinoma based on gadoxetic acid-enhanced MR imaging.

Insights Imaging. 2023-1-8

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