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在泵冠状动脉旁路移植术和非泵冠状动脉旁路移植术后的长期生存:倾向评分匹配分析。

Long-term survival following on-pump and off-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery: a propensity score-matched analysis.

机构信息

Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Liverpool Heart and Chest Hospital, Liverpool, UK.

Centre for Biostatistics, School of Health Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.

出版信息

Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 2019 Dec 1;56(6):1147-1153. doi: 10.1093/ejcts/ezz250.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

Recent studies have once again brought into focus the long-term survival following off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (OPCAB) compared with conventional on-pump coronary artery bypass grafting surgery (ONCAB). The aim of this study was to compare the long-term risk-adjusted survival rates in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) using these 2 techniques.

METHODS

We undertook a propensity score-matched analysis of 10 293 patients who underwent CABG at our single institution between 2000 and 2016. A logistic regression model was fitted using 14 covariates and their 2-way interactions to calculate an estimated propensity score [area under curve (AUC) 0.69], from which 1:1 nearest neighbour matching was performed. Patient survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.

RESULTS

Of the total cohort, 8319 patients had ONCAB and 1974 had OPCAB. Prior to matching, the OPCAB group had marginally higher EuroSCORE [3.7 ± 2.7 vs 3.5 ± 3, median (interquartile range) 3 (2-5) vs 3 (2-5), P = 0.016] and significantly lower average number of grafts per patient (2.39 ± 0.72 vs 2.75 ± 0.48, P < 0.001). Post-matching distributions between OPCAB and ONCAB showed a substantial improvement in balance in preoperative patient characteristics. The 2 surgery groups differed significantly in survival (P < 0.001). OPCAB demonstrated improved long-term survival at 10 years [84.8%, 95% confidence interval (CI) (82.7-86.9%) vs 75.8%, 95% CI (73.4-78.2%)] and 15 years [65.4%, 95% CI (61.4-69.6%) vs 58.5%, 95% CI (54.9-62.3%)]. Results of sensitivity analysis for 1:2 and 1:3 matched data were in concordance with these findings of survival.

CONCLUSION

At our institution, selected patients who underwent OPCAB had lower in-hospital morbidity and improved long-term survival when compared with a matched population of ONCAB patients.

摘要

目的

最近的研究再次关注到非体外循环冠状动脉旁路移植术(OPCAB)与传统体外循环冠状动脉旁路移植术(ONCAB)相比的长期生存率。本研究旨在比较使用这两种技术进行冠状动脉旁路移植术(CABG)的患者的长期风险调整生存率。

方法

我们对 2000 年至 2016 年在我们单中心接受 CABG 的 10293 例患者进行了倾向评分匹配分析。使用 14 个协变量及其 2 向交互作用拟合逻辑回归模型,计算出估计的倾向评分[曲线下面积(AUC)0.69],然后进行 1:1 最近邻匹配。使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法和对数秩检验评估患者生存率。

结果

在总队列中,8319 例患者接受 ONCAB,1974 例患者接受 OPCAB。匹配前,OPCAB 组的 EuroSCORE 略高[3.7±2.7 vs 3.5±3,中位数(四分位距)3(2-5)vs 3(2-5),P=0.016],平均每位患者的搭桥数量明显减少(2.39±0.72 vs 2.75±0.48,P<0.001)。OPCAB 和 ONCAB 匹配后的分布显示,术前患者特征的平衡得到了显著改善。两组手术在生存方面存在显著差异(P<0.001)。OPCAB 在 10 年[84.8%,95%置信区间(CI)(82.7-86.9%)vs 75.8%,95% CI(73.4-78.2%)]和 15 年[65.4%,95% CI(61.4-69.6%)vs 58.5%,95% CI(54.9-62.3%)]的长期生存率上表现出改善。对 1:2 和 1:3 匹配数据的敏感性分析结果与这些生存结果一致。

结论

在我们的机构中,与匹配的 ONCAB 患者相比,接受 OPCAB 的选定患者的院内发病率较低,长期生存率提高。

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