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中国女性乳腺癌死亡率:移民身份是否起作用?

Breast cancer mortality in Chinese women: does migrant status play a role?

机构信息

School of Nursing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China; Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China.

Guangzhou Municipal Centre for Disease and Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China.

出版信息

Ann Epidemiol. 2019 Dec;40:28-34.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2019.10.006. Epub 2019 Oct 31.

Abstract

PURPOSE

It is unclear whether migration would affect the mortality risk of breast cancer. In this study, we compared breast cancer mortality among three Chinese populations: Guangzhou (GZ)-born women, Hong Kong (HK)-born women, and HK residents who were born outside HK (HK immigrant), with the aim to explore the impact of migrant status on breast cancer mortality.

METHODS

We applied an age-period-cohort model to annual age-specific mortality rates of breast cancer among GZ-born, HK-born, and HK-immigrant women from 2003 to 2016, respectively. We also projected mortality rates from 2017 to 2030.

RESULTS

Annual age-standardized mortality rate of breast cancer in women aged 35 years or older was 9.18, 9.17, and 9.83 per 100,000 population, for GZ-born, HK-born, and HK-immigrant women, respectively. A decreasing trend was found in the post-1950s cohorts of GZ-born women and in the post-1960s cohorts of two HK populations. Annual mortality rates of breast cancer in these populations were projected to decrease among the 35-64 years age group and increase among the 65 years and older age group in 2017-2030.

CONCLUSIONS

We found higher age-specific mortality rates of breast cancer in HK-immigrant women compared with HK- and GZ-born women, suggesting that immigration status might have an impact on breast cancer mortality.

摘要

目的

目前尚不清楚迁移是否会影响乳腺癌的死亡风险。在这项研究中,我们比较了三个中国人群的乳腺癌死亡率:广州(GZ)出生的女性、香港(HK)出生的女性和在港出生的香港居民(香港移民),旨在探讨移民身份对乳腺癌死亡率的影响。

方法

我们分别应用年龄-时期-队列模型来分析 2003 年至 2016 年期间 GZ 出生、HK 出生和 HK 移民女性的乳腺癌年龄特异性死亡率,并预测 2017 年至 2030 年的死亡率。

结果

年龄标准化的 35 岁及以上女性乳腺癌年死亡率分别为 GZ 出生、HK 出生和 HK 移民女性的 9.18、9.17 和 9.83/100,000 人。在 GZ 出生女性的 1950 年后出生队列和两个香港人群的 1960 年后出生队列中,均发现呈下降趋势。这些人群中 35-64 岁年龄组的乳腺癌年死亡率预计在 2017-2030 年期间下降,65 岁及以上年龄组的死亡率则上升。

结论

我们发现,与 HK 出生和 GZ 出生的女性相比,HK 移民女性的乳腺癌特定年龄死亡率更高,表明移民身份可能对乳腺癌死亡率有影响。

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