Department of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital, Cardiovascular Institute, Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150001, China.
Center for Endemic Disease Control, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Harbin Medical University, Harbin 150081, China.
Biomed Res Int. 2019 Nov 3;2019:9542054. doi: 10.1155/2019/9542054. eCollection 2019.
Serum calcium has been reported to be a predictor of short-term prognosis; however, evidence regarding its association with midterm mortality is scarce. We investigated the association between serum calcium levels at admission and midterm mortality in a retrospective cohort of 2594 consecutive patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) who presented to the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from November 2014 to December 2016. Patients were assigned to 4 groups according to the quartiles of serum calcium levels (Ca-1-4) and were followed longitudinally for the time to all-cause death. During a median follow-up period of 21.8 months (17.5∼29.5, IQR), 124 patients died (4.8%) of all causes. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the incidence of midterm mortality differed significantly (log-rank =0.038) among the quartiles of serum calcium levels at admission. After adjustment for the confounders that were significant in the univariate analysis, the hazard ratios for the lowest quartile of serum calcium was 1.86 (95% CI, 1.05-3.31; =0.033), compared with the third quartile (reference group). A multiple restricted cubic spline regression model suggested a reverse J-shaped association between serum calcium levels and midterm mortality, and the lowest risk of mortality was associated with approximately 2.32 mmol/l of serum calcium. In conclusion, the serum calcium level is an independent predictor of all-cause midterm mortality among ACS patients. Patients with abnormal serum calcium levels at admission need more targeted treatments.
血清钙已被报道可预测短期预后,但关于其与中期死亡率关系的证据尚少。我们对 2014 年 11 月至 2016 年 12 月间于哈尔滨医科大学附属第一医院就诊的 2594 例急性冠状动脉综合征(ACS)连续患者的回顾性队列进行了研究,该研究调查了入院时血清钙水平与中期死亡率之间的关系。根据血清钙水平(Ca-1-4)四分位数,将患者分为 4 组,并对所有患者进行了中位随访时间为 21.8 个月(17.5∼29.5,IQR)的随访,以记录全因死亡时间。在随访期间,共有 124 例患者(4.8%)死于各种原因。Kaplan-Meier 曲线显示,入院时血清钙水平四分位数的中期死亡率差异有统计学意义(对数秩检验=0.038)。在校正单因素分析中有统计学意义的混杂因素后,最低四分位数血清钙的危险比为 1.86(95%CI,1.05-3.31;=0.033),与第三四分位数(参考组)相比。多重限制三次样条回归模型表明,血清钙水平与中期死亡率之间呈反向 J 形关系,死亡率最低的风险与大约 2.32 mmol/L 的血清钙相关。综上所述,血清钙水平是 ACS 患者全因中期死亡率的独立预测因素。入院时血清钙水平异常的患者需要更有针对性的治疗。