Altered serum calcium homeostasis independently predicts mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome: a retrospective observational cohort study.

OBJECTIVES

Serum calcium levels (sCa) were reported to be associated with risk of cardiovascular diseases. The aim of this study was to analyse the association between sCa and long-term mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

DESIGN

A retrospective observational cohort study.

SETTING

Single-centre study with participants recruited from the local area.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of consecutive 13 772 patients with ACS were included in this analysis. Patients were divided based on their sCa profile (≤2.1 mmol/L, 2.1-2.2 mmol/L, 2.2-2.3 mmol/L, 2.3-2.4 mmol/L, 2.4-2.5 mmol/L,>2.5 mmol/L) and followed up for a median of 2.96 years (IQR 1.01-4.07).

PRIMARY OUTCOME

Long-term all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 2.96 years, patients with sCa ≤2.1 mmol/L had the highest cumulative incidences of all-cause mortality (16.7%), whereas those with sCa 2.4-2.5 mmol/L had the lowest cumulative incidences of all-cause mortality (3.5%). After adjusting for potentially confounding variables, the Cox analysis revealed that compared with the reference group (sCa 2.4-2.5 mmol/L), all the other groups had higher mortality except for the sCa 2.3-2.4 mmol/L group (HR, 1.32, 95% CI 0.93 to 1.87). Restricted cubic splines showed that the relationship between sCa and all-cause mortality seemed to be U shaped. The optimal sCa cut-off point, 2.35 mmol/L, was determined based on the shape of restricted cubic splines.

CONCLUSIONS

Altered serum calcium homeostasis at admission independently predicts all-cause mortality in patients with ACS. In addition, a U-shaped relationship between sCa and all-cause mortality exists, and maintaining sCa at approximately 2.35 mmol/L may minimise the risk of mortality.