Research Center of Big Data, College of management, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
College of Management, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan.
Cancer Med. 2020 Jan;9(2):562-574. doi: 10.1002/cam4.2730. Epub 2019 Dec 2.
To estimate easily assessed preoperative factors for predicting 90-day mortality in patients with a pancreatic head adenocarcinoma (PHA) receiving a pancreaticoduodenectomy.
We analyzed data from the Taiwan Cancer Registry Database of patients with a PHA who received a pancreaticoduodenectomy. Basic demographic characteristics, including gender and age, were categorized. The selection of preoperative comorbidities was based on the preoperative American Society of Anesthesiologists score and Charlson comorbidity index.
We enrolled 8490 patients with a PHA who received a pancreaticoduodenectomy without distant metastasis. Currently, a pancreaticoduodenectomy for a PHA achieves an overall 90-day mortality rate of 8.39%. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses indicated that an older age (65-74 and ≥75 years) and specific comorbidities (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, dementia, and sepsis) were significant independent prognostic factors for predicting 90-day mortality after a pancreaticoduodenectomy. After adjustment, the adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) of subjects with middle and high comorbidity scores for 90-day mortality in 65 to 74-year-old patients were 1.36 (1.05-1.75) and 2.25 (1.03-4.90), respectively, compared to subjects with low comorbidity scores. The aHRs (95% CIs) of subjects with middle and high comorbidity scores for 90-day mortality in ≥75-year-old patients were 1.35 (1.07-1.78) and 2.07 (1.19-3.62), respectively, compared to those with low comorbidity scores.
Elderly patients with a PHA and moderate or high comorbidity scores have an increased risk of 90-day mortality after a pancreaticoduodenectomy.
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