Ambrosino Fabrizio, Thinová Lenka, Briestenský Miloš, Sabbarese Carlo
Department of Mathematics and Physics, University of Campania "Luigi Vanvitelli", Viale Lincoln 5, 81100 Caserta, Italy.
Faculty of Nuclear Sciences and Physical Engineering, Czech Technical University in Prague, Břehová 7, 11519 Prague, Czech Republic.
Radiat Prot Dosimetry. 2019 Dec 31;186(2-3):428-432. doi: 10.1093/rpd/ncz245.
Anomalies in the radon (222Rn) releases in underground environments are one of the phenomena that can be observed before earthquake occurrence. Continuous measurements of radon activity concentration, and of meteorological parameters that influence the gas emission, were performed in three Slovak and Czech caves during 1-y period (1 July 2016-30 June 2017). The radon activity concentration in caves shows seasonal variations, with maxima reached during summer months. The anomalies in the radon time series are identified using a combination of three mathematical methods: multiple linear regression, empirical mode decomposition and support vector regression. The radon anomaly periods were compared with earthquake occurrences in Europe. Coincidences between both phenomena were found, since all monitored caves reflect contemporaneous local tectonic changes. The results indicate that radon continuous monitoring could assist a better understanding of radon emissions, along active tectonic structures, during seismic events.
地下环境中氡(²²²Rn)释放异常是地震发生前可观测到的现象之一。在2016年7月1日至2017年6月30日的1年期间,对斯洛伐克和捷克的三个洞穴进行了氡活度浓度以及影响气体排放的气象参数的连续测量。洞穴中的氡活度浓度呈现季节性变化,在夏季月份达到最大值。使用多元线性回归、经验模态分解和支持向量回归这三种数学方法相结合来识别氡时间序列中的异常。将氡异常期与欧洲的地震发生情况进行了比较。发现这两种现象之间存在巧合,因为所有监测洞穴都反映了同期的局部构造变化。结果表明,氡的连续监测有助于更好地理解地震事件期间沿活动构造结构的氡排放情况。