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英国脱欧公投后的脱欧派和留欧派:果真比以往更团结而非更分裂?

Leavers and Remainers after the Brexit referendum: More united than divided after all?

机构信息

Department of Psychology, University of Bath, UK.

School of Psychology, Cardiff University, UK.

出版信息

Br J Soc Psychol. 2020 Apr;59(2):470-493. doi: 10.1111/bjso.12359. Epub 2019 Dec 20.

Abstract

Since the British 'Brexit referendum' in 2016, tensions between 'leave' and 'remain' voters have been growing. Using a novel analytical approach based on the full distribution of responses rather than their arithmetic means, Study 1 (N = 1,506) showed on average 90% of overlap among Leavers and Remainers across a range of important variables. Even on the variables that are commonly used to illustrate how Leavers and Remainers differ (e.g., prejudice against immigrants), the amount of overlap was larger than 50%. In Study 2 (N = 206), we demonstrate the importance of focusing on similarities between groups: Presenting the full distribution of responses from Leavers and Remainers rather than their mean differences caused more accurate perceptions of the actual differences and similarities between both groups and higher perceived intergroup harmony. We conclude that similarities between Leavers and Remainers are substantial and that our proposed approach may help to de-escalate tensions between these and other groups.

摘要

自 2016 年英国“脱欧公投”以来,“脱欧”派和“留欧”派选民之间的紧张关系一直在加剧。研究 1(N=1506)使用了一种基于完整反应分布而非算术平均值的新分析方法,结果显示,在一系列重要变量上,脱欧派和留欧派之间的平均重叠率为 90%。即使在通常用于说明脱欧派和留欧派差异的变量(例如对移民的偏见)上,重叠率也超过了 50%。在研究 2(N=206)中,我们证明了关注群体之间相似性的重要性:呈现脱欧派和留欧派的完整反应分布,而不是他们的均值差异,会导致对两组之间实际差异和相似性的更准确感知,以及更高的群体间和谐感。我们的结论是,脱欧派和留欧派之间存在实质性的相似性,我们提出的方法可能有助于缓解这些群体和其他群体之间的紧张关系。

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