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英国脱欧:动机、无偏见回应意愿、以及对移民态度的影响。

Brexit: The influence of motivation to respond without prejudice, willingness to disagree, and attitudes to immigration.

机构信息

Department of Psychology, Goldsmiths, University of London, UK.

出版信息

Br J Soc Psychol. 2021 Jan;60(1):222-247. doi: 10.1111/bjso.12383. Epub 2020 Apr 29.

Abstract

Britain's unexpected vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) in June 2016 has proved divisive and damaging both within the United Kingdom and internationally. Across two correlational studies, the current research proposed a model to explain the Brexit vote, with attitudes to immigration and willingness to disagree (WD) as direct predictors of the referendum result, and internal (IMS) and external (EMS) motivation to respond without prejudice as indirect predictors. Study 1 (N = 353) and Study 2 (N = 363) both showed good fit with the model and, respectively, explained 48% and 46% of the referendum result. More positive attitudes to immigration predicted a vote to remain. Higher IMS and lower EMS predicted a vote to remain, fully mediated by attitudes to immigration. In Study 1, lower WD also predicted a vote to remain, both directly and indirectly via attitudes to immigration, although this was not replicated in Study 2. These results are discussed both in relation to the Brexit result, and the implications for motivation to respond without prejudice, WD, and political correctness more generally.

摘要

2016 年 6 月,英国出人意料地投票决定退出欧盟(脱欧),这一决定在英国国内和国际上都造成了分裂和破坏。通过两项相关性研究,本研究提出了一个解释脱欧投票的模型,将移民态度和愿意不同意(WD)作为公投结果的直接预测因素,内部(IMS)和外部(EMS)无偏见回应的动机作为间接预测因素。研究 1(N=353)和研究 2(N=363)都很好地拟合了该模型,分别解释了 48%和 46%的公投结果。对移民更积极的态度预示着投票支持留欧。较高的 IMS 和较低的 EMS 预示着投票支持留欧,这完全由对移民的态度所中介。在研究 1 中,较低的 WD 也预示着投票支持留欧,这既可以直接预测,也可以通过对移民的态度来间接预测,尽管在研究 2 中没有得到复制。这些结果既与脱欧结果有关,也与无偏见回应的动机、WD 以及更广泛的政治正确性有关。

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