Department of Psychology, Anglia Ruskin University, Cambridge, UK.
Centre for Psychological Medicine, Perdana University, Serdang, Malaysia.
Br J Psychol. 2018 Feb;109(1):156-179. doi: 10.1111/bjop.12252. Epub 2017 Jun 20.
We used an identities approach to examine voting intentions in the June 2016 UK referendum on membership of the European Union (EU). In April 2016, 303 British adults (58.7% women, age M = 34.73) indicated their voting intentions for the referendum and completed measures of identification with the national in-group, perceived threat from Muslim immigrants, belief in Islamophobic conspiracy narratives, Islamophobia, general conspiracist beliefs, ambiguity tolerance, and belief in a clash of civilizations. Path and mediation analyses indicated that greater belief in Islamophobic conspiracy theories mediated the link between Islamophobia and intention to vote to leave. Islamophobia and Islamophobic conspiracist beliefs also mediated the effects of perceived threat from Muslims on voting intentions. Other variables acted as antecedents of perceived threat or Islamophobic conspiracy narratives. These findings highlight the role that identity-based cognitions may have played in shaping voting intentions for the UK EU referendum.
我们采用认同理论的方法，考察了 2016 年 6 月英国就欧盟成员国身份举行的公投中的投票意向。2016 年 4 月，303 名英国成年人（58.7%为女性，年龄 M=34.73）表示了他们对此次公投的投票意向，并完成了对国家内群体认同、对穆斯林移民的感知威胁、对伊斯兰恐惧症阴谋论的信仰、对伊斯兰教的恐惧、普遍阴谋论信仰、模糊容忍度和文明冲突信仰的测量。路径和中介分析表明，对伊斯兰恐惧症阴谋论的信仰程度越高，对伊斯兰教的恐惧与投票离开的意图之间的联系就越强。对穆斯林的感知威胁和对伊斯兰教的恐惧以及伊斯兰恐惧症阴谋论信仰也会影响投票意向。其他变量则是感知威胁或伊斯兰恐惧症阴谋论的先行变量。这些发现强调了基于身份的认知在塑造英国欧盟公投投票意向方面可能发挥的作用。
