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新入住养老院居民的总体死亡率和死亡原因。

Overall mortality and causes of death in newly admitted nursing home residents.

机构信息

Epidemiological Department, Azienda Zero, Veneto Region, Passaggio Gaudenzio 1, 35131, Padua, PD, Italy.

Department of Developmental and Social Psychology, University of Padova, Padua, Italy.

出版信息

Aging Clin Exp Res. 2020 Feb;32(2):275-280. doi: 10.1007/s40520-019-01441-x. Epub 2020 Jan 1.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In spite of a rapidly ageing population, there is a lack of population-based data on mortality among nursing home residents in Southern Europe.

AIMS

To assess mortality rates, their determinants, and causes of death in newly admitted nursing home residents in the Veneto region (northeastern Italy).

METHODS

19,392 subjects aged ≥ 65 years admitted to regional nursing homes during 2015-2017 were recruited in a cohort mortality study based on linked health records. Risk factors for mortality were investigated by Cox regression. The distribution of causes of death was retrieved from death certificates.

RESULTS

Mortality peaked in the first 4 months after admission; thereafter the monthly mortality rate fluctuated around 3% in males and 2% in females. Overall mortality was 23% at 6 months and 34% at 1 year. In addition to age, gender, and dependency, main risk factors for mortality were recent hospitalization (first 4 months after entry into the facility), and the burden of comorbidities (subsequent follow-up period). The most represented causes of mortality were similar in the first and in the subsequent period after admission: cardio-cerebrovascular diseases, neurodegenerative diseases, respiratory diseases, and infections.

DISCUSSION

The first months after admission represent a period at high risk of mortality, especially for patients with a recent hospitalization. Causes reported in death certificates suggest mainly an acute deterioration of pre-existing chronic conditions.

CONCLUSION

Health care plans should be personalized for newly admitted vulnerable patients. Palliative care needs should be recognized and addressed for high-risk non-cancer patients.

摘要

背景

尽管人口老龄化迅速,但南欧的养老院居民的死亡率缺乏基于人群的数据。

目的

评估威尼托地区(意大利东北部)新入住养老院居民的死亡率、其决定因素和死亡原因。

方法

在一项基于健康记录链接的队列死亡率研究中,招募了 2015-2017 年期间入住地区养老院的 19392 名年龄≥65 岁的受试者。使用 Cox 回归分析死亡率的危险因素。从死亡证明中检索死因分布。

结果

死亡率在入住后的前 4 个月达到峰值;此后,男性每月死亡率波动在 3%左右,女性每月死亡率波动在 2%左右。入住后 6 个月的总体死亡率为 23%,1 年时为 34%。除年龄、性别和依赖程度外,死亡率的主要危险因素是近期住院(入住设施后前 4 个月)和合并症负担(随后的随访期)。在入住后的前和后续期间,死亡率的主要原因相似:心脑血管疾病、神经退行性疾病、呼吸系统疾病和感染。

讨论

入住后的头几个月是死亡率高的时期,特别是对于最近住院的患者。死亡证明中报告的死因表明,主要是先前存在的慢性疾病急性恶化。

结论

应针对新入住的脆弱患者制定个性化的医疗保健计划。应认识到高风险非癌症患者的姑息治疗需求并予以解决。

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