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中国气候政策中的汞惠益:同时应对《巴黎协定》和《水俣公约》

Mercury Benefits of Climate Policy in China: Addressing the Paris Agreement and the Minamata Convention Simultaneously.

机构信息

Institute for Data, Systems, and Society , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge , Massachusetts 02139 , United States.

Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences , Massachusetts Institute of Technology , Cambridge , Massachusetts 02139 , United States.

出版信息

Environ Sci Technol. 2020 Feb 4;54(3):1326-1335. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.9b06741. Epub 2020 Jan 16.

DOI:10.1021/acs.est.9b06741
PMID:31899622
Abstract

National commitments under the Paris Agreement on climate change interact with other global environmental objectives, such as those of the Minamata Convention on Mercury. We assess how mercury emissions and deposition reductions from national climate policy in China under the Paris Agreement could contribute to the country's commitments under the Minamata Convention. We examine emissions under climate policy scenarios developed using a computable general equilibrium model of China's economy, end-of-pipe control scenarios that meet China's commitments under the Minamata Convention, and these policies in combination, and evaluate deposition using a global atmospheric transport model. We find climate policy in China can provide mercury benefits when implemented with Minamata policy, achieving in the year 2030 approximately 5% additional reduction in mercury emissions and deposition in China when climate policy achieves a 5% reduction per year in carbon intensity (CO emissions 9.7 Gt in 2030). This corresponds to 63 Mg additional mercury emissions reductions in 2030 when implemented with Minamata Convention policy, compared to Minamata policy implemented alone. Climate policy provides emissions reductions in sectors not considered under the Minamata Convention, such as residential combustion. This changes the combination of sectors that contribute to emissions reductions.

摘要

根据《巴黎协定》作出的国家承诺会与其他全球环境目标相互作用,如《关于汞的水俣公约》所涉及的目标。我们评估了中国在《巴黎协定》下的国家气候政策减少汞排放和沉降,将如何有助于中国履行《水俣公约》下的承诺。我们研究了使用中国经济可计算一般均衡模型制定的气候政策情景、满足《水俣公约》中国承诺的末端控制情景,以及这些政策的综合情况,并使用全球大气传输模型评估了沉降情况。我们发现,在中国实施《水俣公约》政策时,气候政策可以带来汞的益处,即在气候政策每年实现碳强度降低 5%的情况下(2030 年 CO2 排放量为 97 亿吨),到 2030 年中国的汞排放量和沉降量将额外减少约 5%。与单独实施《水俣公约》政策相比,这相当于与《水俣公约》政策同时实施时额外减少 63 毫克的汞排放量。气候政策减少了《水俣公约》未涵盖的部门(如住宅燃烧)的排放。这改变了有助于减少排放的部门的组合。

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