Degré Delphine, Stauber Rudolf E, Englebert Gaël, Sarocchi Francesca, Verset Laurine, Rainer Florian, Spindelboeck Walter, Njimi Hassane, Trépo Eric, Gustot Thierry, Lackner Carolin, Deltenre Pierre, Moreno Christophe
Department of Gastroenterology, Hepatopancreatology and Digestive Oncology, CUB Hôpital Erasme, Université Libre de Bruxelles, Brussels, Belgium.
Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria; EASL Consortium for the Study of alcohol-related liver disease (SALVE).
J Hepatol. 2020 Apr;72(4):636-642. doi: 10.1016/j.jhep.2019.12.023. Epub 2020 Jan 15.
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with alcoholic hepatitis and a modified Maddrey's discriminant function (mDF) <32 have a low risk of short-term mortality. However, few data exist concerning long-term outcomes. The aims of this study were to evaluate 5-year survival rates and to identify predictive factors for long-term prognosis in this patient population. METHODS: We studied patients from 2 centers who were admitted for hepatic decompensation (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or jaundice) and who had histological findings of steatohepatitis and an mDF <32. Clinical and biological parameters were recorded at the time of liver biopsy and alcohol consumption was recorded during follow-up. We performed Cox proportional hazard survival analysis to identify factors associated with 5-year survival. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty-one patients were included (male: 64%, mean age: 51.5 ± 10.3 years, presence of cirrhosis: 84%). The median model for end-stage liver disease and mDF scores were 14 (IQR 11.7-16.1) and 19 (IQR 11.1-24), respectively. During follow-up, 30% of the patients remained abstinent. Survival rates at 1, 6, 12, 24, and 60 months were 96.7 ± 1.6%, 90.1 ± 2.7%, 80.8 ± 3.6%, 69.9 ± 4.3%, and 50.7 ± 4.9%, respectively. The majority of deaths (80%) were liver related. In multivariable analysis, encephalopathy at baseline and alcohol abstinence were predictive of 5-year survival. The 5-year survival rates of patients without and with encephalopathy at baseline were 60.5 ± 5.8% and 29.7 ± 8.0%, respectively, and the 5-year survival rates of abstinent and non-abstinent patients were 74.0 ± 8.0% and 40.9 ± 5.8%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The mortality rate of patients with alcoholic hepatitis and an mDF <32 is around 50% at 5 years. Hepatic encephalopathy at baseline and lack of alcohol abstinence impair long-term prognosis. New treatment strategies, including measures to ensure abstinence, are required. LAY SUMMARY: Patients with alcoholic hepatitis that is of intermediate severity have a low risk of short-term mortality but not much is known regarding long-term outcomes for these patients. This study clearly indicates that patients with intermediate disease characteristics have poor long-term outcomes. The presence of hepatic encephalopathy at the time of diagnosis and the absence of alcohol abstinence during follow-up are factors that predict poor long-term mortality.
BMC Gastroenterol. 2011-10-28
J Clin Gastroenterol. 2011
Alcohol Alcohol Suppl. 1994
Scand J Gastroenterol. 2020-4
Minerva Med. 2017-12
Aliment Pharmacol Ther. 2013-7-23
Liver Res. 2023-3-15
Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2024-9
Addict Sci Clin Pract. 2024-3-19
Frontline Gastroenterol. 2023-8-10
Ther Clin Risk Manag. 2023-10-24
J Clin Exp Hepatol. 2023