Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario de Canarias, Ofra, s/n. La Laguna, 38320 Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain.
Intensive Care Unit, Hospital Universitario Nuestra Señora de Candelaria, Crta del Rosario s/n, Santa Cruz de Tenerife 38010, Spain.
J Crit Care. 2020 Jun;57:1-4. doi: 10.1016/j.jcrc.2020.01.022. Epub 2020 Jan 20.
Previously our team found higher serum substance P concentrations at day 1 of a malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI) in non-surviving than in surviving patients. Thus, the objective of this study was to determine whether serum substance P levels during the first week of MMCAI could predict mortality.
We included patients with MMCAI defined as computed tomography findings of acute infarction in at least of 50% of the territory and Glasgow Coma Scale ≤8. We determined serum concentrations of substance P on days 1, 4 and 8 of MMCAI. Thirty-day mortality was the study end-point.
Serum substance P concentrations at days 1 (p < .001), 4 (p < .001), and 8 (p = .001) of MMCAI in non-surviving (n = 34) were higher than in surviving patients (n = 34). Receiver operating characteristic analyses showed that serum substance P concentrations at days 1, 4, and 8 of MMCAI had an area under curve (95% confidence intervals) to predict 30-day mortality of 0.77 (0.66-0.87; p < .001), 0.82 (0.69-0.91; p < .001) and 0.85 (0.72-0.94; p < .001) respectively.
The two new findings of our study are that non-surviving MMCAI patients showed higher serum substance P levels at day 1, 4 and 8 than surviving, and that those levels could predict 30-day mortality.
此前,我们的团队发现,在恶性大脑中动脉梗死(MMCAI)发病第 1 天,非存活患者的血清 P 物质浓度高于存活患者。因此,本研究的目的是确定 MMCAI 发病第 1 周内的血清 P 物质水平是否可以预测死亡率。
我们纳入了 MMCAI 患者,定义为计算机断层扫描发现至少 50%的区域有急性梗死,格拉斯哥昏迷量表≤8。我们在 MMCAI 发病第 1、4 和 8 天测定血清 P 物质浓度。30 天死亡率为研究终点。
非存活组(n=34)发病第 1、4 和 8 天的血清 P 物质浓度(p<0.001)高于存活组(n=34)。受试者工作特征曲线分析显示,MMCAI 发病第 1、4 和 8 天的血清 P 物质浓度预测 30 天死亡率的曲线下面积(95%置信区间)分别为 0.77(0.66-0.87;p<0.001)、0.82(0.69-0.91;p<0.001)和 0.85(0.72-0.94;p<0.001)。
我们研究的两个新发现是,非存活的 MMCAI 患者在发病第 1、4 和 8 天的血清 P 物质水平高于存活患者,并且这些水平可以预测 30 天死亡率。