Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario N6A 3K7, Canada; Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3, Canada.
Center for Infectious Disease Modelling and Analysis, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06510, USA; Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3, Canada.
Vaccine. 2020 Mar 4;38(11):2585-2591. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.01.073. Epub 2020 Feb 1.
Toxoid vaccines against Clostridium difficile infections (CDI) appear promising in reducing the risk of developing toxin-mediated symptoms. We sought to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a vaccine candidate in a hospital setting. We developed an agent-based simulation model of nosocomial CDI in a 300-bed hospital. Targeting high-risk patients for vaccination, we estimated the reduction of symptomatic CDI. Using the net reduction of CDI-associated isolation days, we evaluated the vaccine's cost-effectiveness from a healthcare provider perspective over a 2-year period with an average monthly incidence of 5 cases per 10,000 patient-days pre-vaccination. Assuming a vaccine efficacy in the range 60-90%, vaccinating 40% of high-risk patients pre-admission reduced symptomatic CDI by 16.6% (95% CI: 15.2, 17.9). When the vaccine coverage increased to 80%, the reduction of symptomatic CDI was 34.6% (95% CI: 33.7, 35.9). For a willingness to pay (WTP) of CDN$1000 (corresponding to the average costs of case isolation per day), vaccine was cost-effective for vaccination costs per individual (VCPI) up to CDN$111 in the scenario of 40% vaccine coverage. With the same WTP, vaccine was cost-effective for VCPI up to CDN$121 when the vaccine coverage increased to 80%. A significant portion (~80%) of hospital colonization is caused by environmental transmission of C. difficile, which markedly reduced the effectiveness of vaccine below its assumed efficacy. However, due to the number of CDI-associated isolation days averted, vaccination of high-risk patients can be cost-effective depending on the WTP and the VCPI.
针对艰难梭菌感染(CDI)的类毒素疫苗似乎有望降低发生毒素介导症状的风险。我们旨在评估候选疫苗在医院环境中的有效性和成本效益。我们开发了一个基于代理的 300 床医院院内 CDI 模型。针对高风险患者进行疫苗接种,我们估计了症状性 CDI 的减少。使用 CDI 相关隔离天数的净减少,我们从医疗保健提供者的角度评估了疫苗在 2 年内的成本效益,在接种疫苗前,平均每月每 10000 个患者日有 5 例病例。假设疫苗效力在 60-90%范围内,在入院前对 40%的高风险患者进行疫苗接种可使症状性 CDI 减少 16.6%(95%CI:15.2,17.9)。当疫苗覆盖率增加到 80%时,症状性 CDI 的减少率为 34.6%(95%CI:33.7,35.9)。对于支付意愿(WTP)为 1000 加元(相当于每天隔离病例的平均费用),在 40%疫苗覆盖率的情况下,疫苗对于每人的接种成本(VCPI)高达 111 加元是具有成本效益的。在相同的 WTP 下,当疫苗覆盖率增加到 80%时,疫苗对于 VCPI 高达 121 加元是具有成本效益的。约 80%的医院定植是由艰难梭菌的环境传播引起的,这显著降低了疫苗的有效性,使其低于假设的疗效。然而,由于避免了与 CDI 相关的隔离天数,根据 WTP 和 VCPI,对高风险患者进行疫苗接种可能具有成本效益。