National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China.
Center for Global Health, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210029, China.
Environ Sci Technol. 2020 Mar 3;54(5):2859-2868. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.9b05978. Epub 2020 Feb 18.
Both ozone exposure and extreme temperatures are found to be significantly associated with mortality; however, inconsistent results have been obtained on the modification effects of temperature on the ozone-mortality association. In the present study, we conducted a nationwide time-series analysis in 128 counties from 2013-2018 to examine whether temperature modifies the association between short-term ozone exposure with nonaccidental and cause-specific mortality in China. First, we analyzed the effects of ozone exposure on mortality at different temperature levels. Then, we calculated the pooled effects through a meta-analysis across China. We found that high-temperature conditions (>75th percentile in each county) significantly enhanced the effects of ozone on nonaccidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, with increases of 0.44% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.36 and 0.51%), 0.42% (95% CI: 0.32 and 0.51%) and 0.50% (95% CI: 0.31 and 0.68%), respectively, for a 10 μg/m increase in ozone at high temperatures. Stronger effects on nonaccidental and cardiovascular mortality were observed at high temperatures among elderly individuals aged 65 years and older compared with the younger people. Our findings provide evidence that health damage because of ozone may be influenced by the impacts of increasing temperatures, which point to the importance of mitigating ozone exposure in China under the context of climate change to further reduce the public health burden.
臭氧暴露和极端温度都被发现与死亡率显著相关;然而,关于温度对臭氧-死亡率关联的修正作用,得到的结果并不一致。在本研究中,我们在 2013-2018 年期间对来自 128 个县的全国时间序列进行了分析,以检验温度是否会改变短期臭氧暴露与中国非意外和特定原因死亡率之间的关联。首先,我们分析了臭氧暴露对不同温度水平下死亡率的影响。然后,我们通过荟萃分析计算了中国的综合效应。我们发现,高温条件(每个县的第 75 百分位数以上)显著增强了臭氧对非意外、心血管和呼吸死亡的影响,臭氧每增加 10μg/m,非意外、心血管和呼吸死亡率分别增加 0.44%(95%置信区间:0.36-0.51%)、0.42%(95%置信区间:0.32-0.51%)和 0.50%(95%置信区间:0.31-0.68%)。与年轻人相比,高温下 65 岁及以上的老年人非意外和心血管死亡率的影响更强。我们的研究结果提供了证据表明,由于臭氧造成的健康损害可能会受到气温升高的影响,这表明在中国气候变化的背景下,减少臭氧暴露以进一步减轻公共卫生负担非常重要。