Lee Wesley, Mack Lauren M, Sangi-Haghpeykar Haleh, Gandhi Rajshi, Wu Qingqing, Kang Li, Canavan Timothy P, Gatina Renata, Schild Ralf L
Baylor College of Medicine and Texas Children's Hospital, Houston, Texas, USA.
Beijing Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
J Ultrasound Med. 2020 Jul;39(7):1317-1324. doi: 10.1002/jum.15224. Epub 2020 Feb 5.
To develop new fetal weight prediction models using automated fractional limb volume (FLV).
A prospective multicenter study measured fetal biometry within 4 to 7 days of delivery. Three-dimensional data acquisition included the automated FLV that was based on 50% of the humerus diaphysis (fractional arm volume [AVol]) or 50% of the femur diaphysis (fractional thigh volume [TVol]) length. A regression analysis provided population sample-specific coefficients to develop 4 weight estimation models. Estimated and actual birth weights (BWs) were compared for the mean percent difference ± standard deviation of the percent differences. Systematic errors were analyzed by the Student t test, and random errors were compared by the Pitman test.
A total of 328 pregnancies were scanned before delivery (BW range, 825-5470 g). Only 71.3% to 72.6% of weight estimations were within 10% of actual BW using original published models by Hadlock et al (Am J Obstet Gynecol 1985; 151:333-337) and INTERGROWTH-21st (Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2017; 49:478-486). All predictions were accurate by using sample-specific model coefficients to minimize bias in making these comparisons (Hadlock, 0.4% ± 8.7%; INTERGROWTH-21st, 0.5% ± 10.0%; AVol, 0.3% ± 7.4%; and TVol, 0.3% ± 8.0%). Both AVol- and TVol-based models improved the percentage of correctly classified BW ±10% in 83.2% and 83.9% of cases, respectively, compared to the INTERGROWTH-21st model (73.8%; P < .01). For BW of less than 2500 g, all models slightly overestimated BW (+2.0% to +3.1%). For BW of greater than 4000 g, AVol (-2.4% ± 6.5%) and TVol (-2.3% ± 6.9%) models) had weight predictions with small systematic errors that were not different from zero (P > .05). For these larger fetuses, both AVol and TVol models correctly classified BW (±10%) in 83.3% and 87.5% of cases compared to the others (Hadlock, 79.2%; INTERGROWTH-21st, 70.8%) although these differences did not reach statistical significance.
In this cohort, the inclusion of automated FLV measurements with conventional 2-dimensional biometry was generally associated with improved weight predictions.
使用自动分段肢体体积(FLV)开发新的胎儿体重预测模型。
一项前瞻性多中心研究在分娩前4至7天测量胎儿生物测量数据。三维数据采集包括基于肱骨骨干50%(分段手臂体积[AVol])或股骨骨干50%(分段大腿体积[TVol])长度的自动FLV。回归分析提供了针对特定人群样本的系数,以开发4种体重估计模型。比较估计出生体重(BW)和实际出生体重的平均百分比差异±百分比差异的标准差。通过学生t检验分析系统误差,通过皮特曼检验比较随机误差。
共有328例妊娠在分娩前进行了扫描(BW范围为825 - 5470克)。使用Hadlock等人(《美国妇产科杂志》1985年;151:333 - 337)和INTERGROWTH - 21st(《超声妇产科》2017年;49:478 - 486)最初发表的模型,只有71.3%至72.6%的体重估计值在实际BW的10%以内。通过使用特定样本模型系数来最小化这些比较中的偏差,所有预测都很准确(Hadlock,0.4%±8.7%;INTERGROWTH - 21st,0.5%±10.0%;AVol,0.3%±7.4%;TVol,0.3%±8.0%)。与INTERGROWTH - 21st模型(73.8%)相比,基于AVol和TVol的模型分别在83.2%和83.9%的病例中提高了正确分类BW±10%的百分比(P <.01)。对于BW小于2500克的情况,所有模型都略微高估了BW(+2.0%至+3.1%)。对于BW大于4000克的情况,AVol(-2.4%±6.5%)和TVol(-2.3%±6.9%)模型的体重预测存在小的系统误差,与零无差异(P>.05)。对于这些较大的胎儿,与其他模型(Hadlock,79.2%;INTERGROWTH - 21st,70.8%)相比,AVol和TVol模型分别在83.3%和87.5%的病例中正确分类了BW(±10%),尽管这些差异未达到统计学意义。
在该队列中,将自动FLV测量与传统二维生物测量相结合通常与改善体重预测相关。