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终末期肝病钠评分中归因于肌酐的比例可独立预测移植后的生存率和肾脏并发症。

The proportion of Model for End-stage Liver Disease Sodium score attributable to creatinine independently predicts post-transplant survival and renal complications.

作者信息

Bittermann Therese, Hubbard Rebecca A, Lewis James D, Goldberg David S

机构信息

Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

出版信息

Clin Transplant. 2020 Mar;34(3):e13817. doi: 10.1111/ctr.13817. Epub 2020 Feb 20.

Abstract

The post-transplant outcomes of patients with Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score primarily driven by renal dysfunction are poorly understood. This was a retrospective cohort study of liver transplant (LT) alone recipients between 2005 and 2017 using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. The proportion of MELD Sodium score attributable to creatinine ("KidneyMELD") was calculated: (9.57 × ln (creatinine) × 100)/(MELD-Na - 6.43). The association of KidneyMELD with (a) all-cause mortality and (b) estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤30 mL/min/1.73 at 1-year post-LT were evaluated. Recipients with KidneyMELD ≥50% had a 52% higher risk of post-LT mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.52 vs KidneyMELD 0%, 95% CI: 1.36-1.69; P < .001). This risk was significantly greater for older patients, particularly when >50 years at LT (interaction P < .001). KidneyMELD ≥50% was also associated with an 11-fold increase in the odds of advanced renal dysfunction at 1-year post-LT (adjusted odds ratio 11.53 vs KidneyMELD 0%; 95% CI 8.9-14.93; P < .001). Recipients prioritized for LT primarily on the basis of renal dysfunction have marked post-LT mortality and morbidity independent of MELD Sodium score. The implications of these results in the context of the new UNOS "safety net" kidney transplant policy require further study.

摘要

对于终末期肝病模型(MELD)评分主要由肾功能不全驱动的患者,其移植后的结局了解甚少。这是一项使用器官共享联合网络(UNOS)数据库对2005年至2017年间仅接受肝移植(LT)受者进行的回顾性队列研究。计算了肌酐所致的MELD钠评分比例(“肾脏MELD”):(9.57×ln(肌酐)×100)/(MELD-Na - 6.43)。评估了肾脏MELD与(a)全因死亡率以及(b)肝移植后1年估计肾小球滤过率≤30 mL/min/1.73之间的关联。肾脏MELD≥50%的受者肝移植后死亡风险高52%(调整后风险比1.52对比肾脏MELD 0%,95%置信区间:1.36 - 1.69;P <.001)。老年患者的这种风险显著更高,尤其是肝移植时年龄>50岁者(交互作用P <.001)。肾脏MELD≥50%还与肝移植后1年晚期肾功能不全的几率增加11倍相关(调整后优势比11.53对比肾脏MELD 0%;95%置信区间8.9 - 14.93;P <.001)。主要基于肾功能不全而优先接受肝移植的受者,其肝移植后的死亡率和发病率显著,且独立于MELD钠评分。在新的UNOS“安全网”肾移植政策背景下,这些结果的影响需要进一步研究。

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