Sagliocca L, Mele A, Gill O N, Cappetta G
Settore Materno Infantile, Battipaglia, Italy.
Eur J Epidemiol. 1988 Dec;4(4):470-2. doi: 10.1007/BF00146400.
A village outbreak of 38 cases of serologically confirmed hepatitis A is described. The epidemic curve was a propagative one and all of the cases occurred in primary school-age or pre-school children. In 1984 the incidence in this age group was 5,000 per 100,000, about 50 times the corresponding national rate. Although 21 of the cases attended the single primary school, these cases were not clustered within school years or classes and examination of onset dates showed only four cases could have resulted from case transmission within classes. A matched triplet case-control study was undertaken to measure the risk associated with prior contact with a case within the acquaintance network and the risk of household contact with either of the two pre-school nurseries where inapparent transmission may have been occurring. Whereas a similar proportion of cases and controls had direct or indirect contact with the nurseries, 48% of cases, compared with 9% of controls, reported a previous case of jaundice within 6 weeks amongst their acquaintance network (matched triplet analysis P less than .0001).
本文描述了一个村庄爆发的38例血清学确诊甲型肝炎病例。流行曲线呈传播性,所有病例均发生在小学年龄段或学龄前儿童中。1984年,该年龄组的发病率为每10万人中有5000例,约为相应国家发病率的50倍。虽然其中21例病例就读于唯一的一所小学,但这些病例并非集中在学年或班级内,对发病日期的检查显示,只有4例可能是由班级内的病例传播所致。开展了一项匹配三联病例对照研究,以衡量与在熟人网络中先前接触病例相关的风险,以及与两个可能发生隐性传播的学前托儿所之一有家庭接触的风险。虽然病例组和对照组与托儿所直接或间接接触的比例相似,但48%的病例报告在其熟人网络中有黄疸病例在6周内出现,而对照组这一比例为9%(匹配三联分析P值小于0.0001)。