Palaeontology, Geobiology and Earth Archives Research Centre, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Kensington NSW 2033, Australia;
Australian Research Council Centre of Excellence in Australian Biodiversity and Heritage, School of Biological, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of New South Wales, Kensington NSW 2033, Australia.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2020 Feb 25;117(8):3996-4006. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1902469117. Epub 2020 Feb 11.
The future response of the Antarctic ice sheet to rising temperatures remains highly uncertain. A useful period for assessing the sensitivity of Antarctica to warming is the Last Interglacial (LIG) (129 to 116 ky), which experienced warmer polar temperatures and higher global mean sea level (GMSL) (+6 to 9 m) relative to present day. LIG sea level cannot be fully explained by Greenland Ice Sheet melt (∼2 m), ocean thermal expansion, and melting mountain glaciers (∼1 m), suggesting substantial Antarctic mass loss was initiated by warming of Southern Ocean waters, resulting from a weakening Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in response to North Atlantic surface freshening. Here, we report a blue-ice record of ice sheet and environmental change from the Weddell Sea Embayment at the periphery of the marine-based West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS), which is underlain by major methane hydrate reserves. Constrained by a widespread volcanic horizon and supported by ancient microbial DNA analyses, we provide evidence for substantial mass loss across the Weddell Sea Embayment during the LIG, most likely driven by ocean warming and associated with destabilization of subglacial hydrates. Ice sheet modeling supports this interpretation and suggests that millennial-scale warming of the Southern Ocean could have triggered a multimeter rise in global sea levels. Our data indicate that Antarctica is highly vulnerable to projected increases in ocean temperatures and may drive ice-climate feedbacks that further amplify warming.
未来南极冰盖对气温上升的反应仍高度不确定。评估南极洲对变暖的敏感性的一个有用时期是末次间冰期(LIG)(12.9 万至 11.6 万年),当时极地温度比现在更暖,全球平均海平面(GMSL)更高(+6 至 9 米)。LIG 海平面不能完全用格陵兰冰盖融化(约 2 米)、海洋热膨胀和融化的山地冰川(约 1 米)来解释,这表明南极大量质量损失是由南大洋海水变暖引发的,这是由于北大西洋表面变咸导致大西洋经向翻转环流减弱所致。在这里,我们报告了来自南极西部冰盖边缘的威德尔海湾(Weddell Sea Embayment)的冰盖和环境变化的蓝冰记录,该冰盖下面是主要的甲烷水合物储量。受广泛的火山层限制,并得到古代微生物 DNA 分析的支持,我们提供了在 LIG 期间威德尔海湾发生大量质量损失的证据,这很可能是由海洋变暖驱动的,并与冰下水合物的不稳定性有关。冰盖模型支持这一解释,并表明南大洋千年尺度的变暖可能引发了全球海平面上升数米。我们的数据表明,南极洲对海洋温度预计的升高非常敏感,可能引发进一步放大变暖的冰-气候反馈。