Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, Utah, USA
Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA.
BMJ Open Respir Res. 2020 Feb;7(1). doi: 10.1136/bmjresp-2019-000450.
The Laboratory-based Intermountain Validated Exacerbation (LIVE) Score is associated with mortality and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation risk across multiple health systems. However, whether the LIVE Score and its associated risk is a stable patient characteristic is unknown.
We validated the LIVE Score in a fourth health system. Then we determined the LIVE Score stability in a retrospective cohort of 98 766 patients with COPD in four health systems where it was previously validated. We assessed whether LIVE Scores changed or remained the same over time. Stability was defined as a majority of surviving patients having the same LIVE Score 4 years later.
The LIVE Score separated patients into three LIVE Score risk groups of low, medium, and high mortality and LIVE Score stability. Mortality ranged from 6.2% for low-risk LIVE to 45.8% for high-risk LIVE (p<0.001). We found that low-risk LIVE groups were stable and high-risk LIVE groups were unstable. Low-risk LIVE group patients remained low risk, but few high-risk LIVE group patients remained high risk (79.0% high vs 48.1% medium vs 8.8% low, p<0.001 for all pairwise comparisons).
The LIVE Score identifies three major clinically actionable cohorts: a stable low-risk LIVE group, an unstable high-risk LIVE group with high mortality rates, and a medium-risk LIVE group. These observations further our understanding of how existing data used to calculate the LIVE Score may target interventions across risk cohorts of patients with COPD in a health system.
基于实验室的山间验证性加重评分(LIVE 评分)与多个医疗系统中的死亡率和慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)加重风险相关。然而,LIVE 评分及其相关风险是否是稳定的患者特征尚不清楚。
我们在第四个医疗系统中验证了 LIVE 评分。然后,我们在四个先前验证过 LIVE 评分的医疗系统中,对 98766 例 COPD 患者的回顾性队列中评估了 LIVE 评分的稳定性。我们评估了 LIVE 评分是否随时间变化或保持不变。稳定性定义为大多数存活患者在 4 年后具有相同的 LIVE 评分。
LIVE 评分将患者分为低、中、高死亡率和 LIVE 评分稳定性三个 LIVE 评分风险组。死亡率从低风险 LIVE 的 6.2%到高风险 LIVE 的 45.8%(p<0.001)不等。我们发现低风险 LIVE 组是稳定的,高风险 LIVE 组是不稳定的。低风险 LIVE 组患者保持低风险,但很少有高风险 LIVE 组患者保持高风险(79.0%高 vs 48.1%中 vs 8.8%低,所有两两比较均 p<0.001)。
LIVE 评分确定了三个主要的临床可操作队列:稳定的低风险 LIVE 组、死亡率较高的不稳定高风险 LIVE 组和中风险 LIVE 组。这些观察结果进一步加深了我们对如何利用现有数据计算 LIVE 评分,以针对特定医疗系统中 COPD 患者的风险队列进行干预的理解。