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蛋鸡产蛋曲线的多元非线性模糊回归技术比较评估

Comparative assessments of multivariate nonlinear fuzzy regression techniques for egg production curve.

作者信息

Akilli Asli, Gorgulu Ozkan

机构信息

Department of Animal Science, Faculty of Agriculture, Kirsehir Ahi Evran University, 40100, Kirsehir, Turkey.

Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, Faculty of Medicine, Kirsehir Ahi Evran University, Kirsehir, 40100, Turkey.

出版信息

Trop Anim Health Prod. 2020 Jul;52(4):2119-2127. doi: 10.1007/s11250-020-02226-5. Epub 2020 Feb 17.

Abstract

The modelling process of egg production curves, where environmental and genetic factors are highly effective, is quite complex and difficult. In particular, the limitations of measurement and the errors encountered during the measurement process may cause uncertainty in the egg production process. In this study, multivariate nonlinear fuzzy regression analysis was used by configuring neural networks and least squares support vector machines in order to express the uncertainty in the system structure during the egg production process. This method was used to obtain the predicted values for egg production in the fuzzy frame. In the study, two different data sets were used which were measured for egg performance and egg weight variables in daily and weekly time periods. Multivariate nonlinear fuzzy regression analysis results were compared with both the observed values and the multivariate classical regression analysis results. Results of analysis show that multivariate nonlinear fuzzy regression analysis with neural networks is more successful than other methods and can be used as an alternative to classical methods in poultry farming.

摘要

产蛋曲线的建模过程相当复杂且困难,因为环境和遗传因素的影响很大。特别是,测量的局限性以及测量过程中遇到的误差可能会导致产蛋过程中的不确定性。在本研究中,通过配置神经网络和最小二乘支持向量机来进行多元非线性模糊回归分析,以表达产蛋过程中系统结构的不确定性。该方法用于在模糊框架中获得产蛋量的预测值。在研究中,使用了两个不同的数据集,分别在每日和每周时间段内对产蛋性能和蛋重变量进行了测量。将多元非线性模糊回归分析结果与观测值以及多元经典回归分析结果进行了比较。分析结果表明,基于神经网络的多元非线性模糊回归分析比其他方法更成功,可作为家禽养殖中经典方法的替代方法。

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