Department of Recreation and Sport Pedagogy, Ohio University, Columbus, Ohio, United States of America.
Department of Physical Education and Sports, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain.
PLoS One. 2020 Feb 18;15(2):e0226978. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0226978. eCollection 2020.
The aim of this study was to investigate the combined effects of tactical and contextual indicators on achieving offensive penetration and scoring opportunities in English Premier League (EPL) soccer matches. A total of 1971 team possessions from 20 random matches were evaluated by means of multidimensional observation. The EPL matches had a great proportion of fast attacks (36.0%) followed by combinative (29.6%), direct attacks (24.1%) and counterattacks (9.5%). Multilevel logistic regression models revealed that counterattacks (OR = 3.428; 95% CI: 2.004-5.864; P<0.001) were more effective to create goal scoring opportunities than combinative attacks, while direct attacks showed to be less effective (OR = 0.472; 95% CI: 0.264-0.845; P<0.05). Playing at home increased the probability (OR = 1.530; 95% CI: 1.097-2.135; P<0.05) of creating goal scoring opportunities compared with playing away. These findings show the multifactorial character of soccer and how different contextual and tactical indicators can influence the creation of offensive penetration and goal scoring opportunities in the English Premier League.
本研究旨在探讨战术和情境指标对英超足球比赛中进攻渗透和得分机会的综合影响。通过多维观察，评估了 20 场随机比赛中的 1971 次球队控球。英超比赛中快速进攻（36.0%）、组合进攻（29.6%）、直接进攻（24.1%）和反击（9.5%）的比例很大。多层次逻辑回归模型显示，反击（OR = 3.428；95%CI：2.004-5.864；P<0.001）比组合进攻更有效地创造进球机会，而直接进攻则效果较差（OR = 0.472；95%CI：0.264-0.845；P<0.05）。与客场比赛相比，主场比赛增加了创造进球机会的可能性（OR = 1.530；95%CI：1.097-2.135；P<0.05）。这些发现表明足球的多因素特征以及不同的情境和战术指标如何影响英超联赛中进攻渗透和进球机会的创造。
