Vector density, parasite prevalence, and transmission of Onchocerca volvulus in Guatemala.

Transmission of Onchocerca volvulus at 4 locations with different prevalences of human onchocerciasis in the Atitlán region of Guatemala is described in relation to vector density and infection rates. The percentages of residents with skin biopsies positive for microfilariae of O. volvulus at these locations were 13.8%, 33.3%, 65.4%, and 89.6%. The following variables associated with transmission were calculated from our observations (the values are presented in an order that corresponds with the above prevalence rates): frequency of third-stage larvae (calculated on an annual basis) in parous Simulium ochraceum, 0, 0.004, 0.005, and 0.004; estimated daily biting density of S. ochraceum, 23, 24, 254, and 1,509 flies per day; and estimated annual infective biting density (based on S. ochraceum), 0, 18, 185, and 1,101 potentially infective bites per year. The frequencies of third-stage larvae are very small compared with those observed in Africa, and suggest that transmission of O. volvulus in Guatemala depends on high vector density. Locations with low, and perhaps tolerable, levels of onchocerciasis (less than 15% of female residents with skin biopsies positive for microfilariae) have mean daily biting densities for S. ochraceum of less than or equal to 24 flies, and infected residents normally have mean microfilarial densities of less than or equal to 3 microfilariae per mg of skin. Stratification of prevalence rates by age group proved useful for assessing current transmission within a village.