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旧碳库在冰消期甲烷预算中并不重要。

Old carbon reservoirs were not important in the deglacial methane budget.

机构信息

Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY 14627, USA.

Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation (ANSTO), Lucas Heights, NSW 2234, Australia.

出版信息

Science. 2020 Feb 21;367(6480):907-910. doi: 10.1126/science.aax0504.

Abstract

Permafrost and methane hydrates are large, climate-sensitive old carbon reservoirs that have the potential to emit large quantities of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, as the Earth continues to warm. We present ice core isotopic measurements of methane (ΔC, δC, and δD) from the last deglaciation, which is a partial analog for modern warming. Our results show that methane emissions from old carbon reservoirs in response to deglacial warming were small (<19 teragrams of methane per year, 95% confidence interval) and argue against similar methane emissions in response to future warming. Our results also indicate that methane emissions from biomass burning in the pre-Industrial Holocene were 22 to 56 teragrams of methane per year (95% confidence interval), which is comparable to today.

摘要

永冻土和甲烷水合物是大量的、对气候敏感的古老碳储存库,它们有可能在地球继续变暖的情况下释放大量的甲烷,甲烷是一种强效温室气体。我们展示了末次冰消期(现代变暖的部分类似物)冰芯中甲烷的同位素测量值(ΔC、δC 和 δD)。我们的结果表明,古老碳储存库对冰消期变暖的甲烷排放很小(<19 太吨/年,95%置信区间),这与未来变暖时的类似甲烷排放情况相矛盾。我们的结果还表明,工业前全新世生物质燃烧的甲烷排放量为每年 22 到 56 太吨(95%置信区间),这与今天的排放量相当。

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