Maclean W, Singh R, Mackenzie P, White D, Benton S, Stebbing J, Rockall T, Jourdan I
Royal Surrey County Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Guildford, UK.
Ann R Coll Surg Engl. 2020 Apr;102(4):308-311. doi: 10.1308/rcsann.2020.0019. Epub 2020 Feb 21.
Survival for colorectal cancer is improved by earlier detection. Rapid assessment and diagnostic demand have created a surge in two-week rule referrals and have subsequently placed a greater burden on endoscopy services. Between 2009 and 2014, a mean of 709 patients annually were referred to Royal Surrey County Hospital with a detection rate of 53 cancers per year giving a positive predictive value for these patients of 7.5%. We aimed to assess what impact the 2015 changes in National Institute for Health and Care Excellence referral criteria had on local cancer detection rate and endoscopy services.
A prospectively maintained database of patients referred under the two-week rule pathway for April 2017-2018 was sub-analysed and the data cross-referenced with all diagnostic reports.
There were 1,414 referrals, which is double the number of previous years; 80.6% underwent endoscopy as primary investigation and 62 cancers were identified, 51 being of colorectal and anal origin (positive predictive value 3.6%). A total of 88 patients were diagnosed, with other significant colorectal disease defined as high-risk adenomas, colitis and benign ulcers. Overall, a total of 10.6% of our two-week rule patients had a significant finding.Since the 2015 referral criteria, despite a dramatic rise in two-week rule referrals, there has been no increase in cancer detection. It has placed significant pressure on diagnostic services. This highlights the need for a less invasive, cheaper yet sensitive test to rule out cancer such as faecal immunochemical testing that can enable clinicians to triage and reduce referral to endoscopy in symptomatic patients.
早期检测可提高结直肠癌的生存率。快速评估和诊断需求导致两周就诊转诊量激增,进而给内镜检查服务带来了更大负担。2009年至2014年期间,每年平均有709名患者被转诊至皇家萨里郡医院,每年的检出率为53例癌症,这些患者的阳性预测值为7.5%。我们旨在评估2015年国家卫生与临床优化研究所转诊标准的变化对当地癌症检出率和内镜检查服务产生了何种影响。
对2017年4月至2018年按照两周就诊途径转诊患者的前瞻性维护数据库进行子分析,并将数据与所有诊断报告进行交叉对照。
共有1414例转诊患者,是前几年数量的两倍;80.6%的患者接受了内镜检查作为初步检查,共发现62例癌症,其中51例起源于结肠直肠和肛门(阳性预测值3.6%)。共有88例患者被诊断,其他重要的结直肠疾病定义为高危腺瘤、结肠炎和良性溃疡。总体而言,我们两周就诊患者中有10.6%有重大发现。自2015年转诊标准实施以来,尽管两周就诊转诊量急剧上升,但癌症检出率并未增加。这给诊断服务带来了巨大压力。这凸显了需要一种侵入性较小、成本较低但敏感的检测方法来排除癌症,如粪便免疫化学检测,它可以使临床医生进行分流,并减少有症状患者转诊至内镜检查的数量。