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井水与医疗保险受益人群帕金森病的关系:一项全国范围内的病例对照研究。

Well Water and Parkinson's Disease in Medicare Beneficiaries: A Nationwide Case-Control Study.

机构信息

Department of Neurology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.

School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.

出版信息

J Parkinsons Dis. 2020;10(2):693-705. doi: 10.3233/JPD-191793.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Well water frequently is considered a risk factor for Parkinson's disease (PD), but few studies were designed appropriately to test whether geographic factors affect PD risk.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the risk of PD in relation to residential use of private well water.

METHODS

In a nationwide, population-based case-control study, we identified all incident PD cases (N = 89,790) and all comparable controls (N = 21,549,400) age 66-90 who solely relied on Medicare coverage in the U.S. in 2009. We estimated the probability of use of private well water using zip code of residence at diagnosis/reference and U.S. Census data on household water source. We modeled this exposure linearly in logistic regression to calculate the odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of PD risk in relation to well water use. We adjusted for age, sex and race/ethnicity, and verified that smoking and use of medical care did not confound results. We repeated analyses with a 2-year exposure lag and separately within each U.S. state.

RESULTS

Use of well water was inversely associated with PD risk (OR = 0.87, 95% CI 0.85-0.89). We confirmed this association in a Cox survival analysis in which we followed controls for 5 years, death or PD diagnosis. There was little evidence that well water use increased risk of PD in any individual state.

CONCLUSIONS

Although it remains possible that exposures in well water in more narrow geographic regions increase PD risk, in general these results suggest that exposures more common in urban/suburban areas might also be relevant.

摘要

背景

井水常被认为是帕金森病(PD)的一个风险因素,但很少有研究设计得足以检验地理因素是否会影响 PD 的风险。

目的

确定与居住使用私人井水有关的 PD 风险。

方法

在一项全国性的基于人群的病例对照研究中,我们确定了所有的 PD 病例(n=89790)和所有可比的对照组(n=21549400),年龄为 66-90 岁,仅在美国 2009 年依靠医疗保险覆盖。我们根据诊断/参考时的邮政编码和美国人口普查数据中家庭用水来源来估计私人水井用水的可能性。我们在线性逻辑回归中对该暴露因素进行建模,以计算与井水使用有关的 PD 风险的比值比(OR)和 95%置信区间(CI)。我们调整了年龄、性别和种族/民族因素,并验证了吸烟和医疗保健使用没有混淆结果。我们使用 2 年的暴露滞后时间进行了重复分析,并分别在美国的各个州进行了分析。

结果

使用井水与 PD 风险呈负相关(OR=0.87,95%CI 0.85-0.89)。我们在一项 Cox 生存分析中证实了这一关联,我们对对照组进行了 5 年的随访,直到死亡或 PD 诊断。几乎没有证据表明井水的使用会增加任何一个州的 PD 风险。

结论

尽管在更狭窄的地理区域中,井水暴露可能会增加 PD 风险,但总体而言,这些结果表明,在城市/郊区更常见的暴露因素也可能相关。

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