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汽车和公共交通出行时间的差异:城市的时空模式。

Disparities in travel times between car and transit: Spatiotemporal patterns in cities.

机构信息

Department of Space, Earth and Environment, Division of Physical Resource Theory, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, 41296, Sweden.

Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Division of Urban Design and Planning, Chalmers University of Technology, Gothenburg, 41296, Sweden.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2020 Mar 4;10(1):4056. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-61077-0.

Abstract

Cities worldwide are pursuing policies to reduce car use and prioritise public transit (PT) as a means to tackle congestion, air pollution, and greenhouse gas emissions. The increase of PT ridership is constrained by many aspects; among them, travel time and the built environment are considered the most critical factors in the choice of travel mode. We propose a data fusion framework including real-time traffic data, transit data, and travel demand estimated using Twitter data to compare the travel time by car and PT in four cities (São Paulo, Brazil; Stockholm, Sweden; Sydney, Australia; and Amsterdam, the Netherlands) at high spatial and temporal resolutions. We use real-world data to make realistic estimates of travel time by car and by PT and compare their performance by time of day and by travel distance across cities. Our results suggest that using PT takes on average 1.4-2.6 times longer than driving a car. The share of area where travel time favours PT over car use is very small: 0.62% (0.65%), 0.44% (0.48%), 1.10% (1.22%) and 1.16% (1.19%) for the daily average (and during peak hours) for São Paulo, Sydney, Stockholm, and Amsterdam, respectively. The travel time disparity, as quantified by the travel time ratio [Formula: see text] (PT travel time divided by the car travel time), varies widely during an average weekday, by location and time of day. A systematic comparison between these two modes shows that the average travel time disparity is surprisingly similar across cities: [Formula: see text] for travel distances less than 3 km, then increases rapidly but quickly stabilises at around 2. This study contributes to providing a more realistic performance evaluation that helps future studies further explore what city characteristics as well as urban and transport policies make public transport more attractive, and to create a more sustainable future for cities.

摘要

世界各地的城市都在推行减少汽车使用和优先发展公共交通(PT)的政策,以解决交通拥堵、空气污染和温室气体排放问题。增加公共交通的客流量受到许多方面的限制;其中,出行时间和建成环境被认为是出行方式选择中最关键的因素。我们提出了一个数据融合框架,包括实时交通数据、公交数据和使用 Twitter 数据估计的出行需求,以在高时空分辨率下比较四城市(巴西圣保罗、瑞典斯德哥尔摩、澳大利亚悉尼和荷兰阿姆斯特丹)的汽车和 PT 的出行时间。我们使用真实世界的数据对汽车和 PT 的出行时间进行了现实的估计,并比较了它们在一天中的不同时间和不同出行距离下的性能。我们的研究结果表明,乘坐公共交通工具的平均出行时间比开车长 1.4-2.6 倍。出行时间有利于公共交通而非汽车出行的区域比例非常小:对于日常平均出行(以及高峰时段出行),圣保罗、悉尼、斯德哥尔摩和阿姆斯特丹分别为 0.62%(0.65%)、0.44%(0.48%)、1.10%(1.22%)和 1.16%(1.19%)。出行时间差异,由出行时间比 [Formula: see text](公共交通出行时间除以汽车出行时间)来量化,在工作日期间,根据位置和时间,变化很大。这两种模式的系统比较表明,各城市之间的平均出行时间差异惊人地相似:[Formula: see text] 用于出行距离小于 3 公里的情况,然后迅速增加,但很快稳定在 2 左右。这项研究有助于提供更现实的性能评估,帮助未来的研究进一步探索哪些城市特征以及城市和交通政策使公共交通更具吸引力,并为城市创造更可持续的未来。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e292/7055332/2323d83934b9/41598_2020_61077_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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