Rosel Jesús F, Elipe-Miravet Marcel, Elósegui Eduardo, Flor-Arasil Patricia, Machancoses Francisco H, Pallarés Jacinto, Puchol Sara, Canales Juan J
Department of Evolutionary Psychology, Educative, Social Studies and Methodology, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain.
Department of Basic and Clinical Psychology and Psychobiology, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón, Spain.
Front Psychiatry. 2020 Feb 19;11:49. doi: 10.3389/fpsyt.2020.00049. eCollection 2020.
Smoking is a habit that is hard to break because nicotine is highly addictive and smoking behavior is strongly linked to multiple daily activities and routines. Here, we explored the effect of gender, age, day of the week, and previous smoking on the number of cigarettes smoked on any given day. Data consisted of daily records of the number of cigarettes participants smoked over an average period of 84 days. The sample included smokers (36 men and 26 women), aged between 18 and 26 years, who smoked at least five cigarettes a day and had smoked for at least 2 years. A panel data analysis was performed by way of multilevel pooled time series modeling. Smoking on any given day was a function of the number of cigarettes smoked on the previous day, and 2, 7, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42, 49, and 56 days previously, and the day of the week. Neither gender nor age influenced this pattern, with no multilevel effects being detected, thus the behavior of all participants fitted the same smoking model. These novel findings show empirically that smoking behavior is governed by firmly established temporal dependence patterns and inform temporal parameters for the rational design of smoking cessation programs.
吸烟是一种难以戒除的习惯，因为尼古丁极易成瘾，而且吸烟行为与多项日常活动和生活习惯紧密相连。在此，我们探讨了性别、年龄、星期几以及既往吸烟情况对任一给定日期吸烟量的影响。数据包括参与者在平均84天期间每日吸烟量的记录。样本包括年龄在18至26岁之间、每天至少吸5支烟且吸烟至少2年的吸烟者（36名男性和26名女性）。通过多层合并时间序列建模进行了面板数据分析。任一给定日期的吸烟量是前一天、前2天、7天、14天、21天、28天、35天、42天、49天和56天的吸烟量以及星期几的函数。性别和年龄均未影响这种模式，未检测到多层效应，因此所有参与者的行为都符合相同的吸烟模型。这些新发现从经验上表明，吸烟行为受既定的时间依赖性模式支配，并为戒烟计划的合理设计提供了时间参数信息。
