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评估新加坡前 100 名 COVID-19 患者的监测和控制措施的有效性 - 2020 年 1 月 2 日至 2 月 29 日。

Evaluation of the Effectiveness of Surveillance and Containment Measures for the First 100 Patients with COVID-19 in Singapore - January 2-February 29, 2020.

出版信息

MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020 Mar 20;69(11):307-311. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6911e1.

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was first reported in Wuhan, China, in December 2019, and has since spread globally, resulting in >95,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases worldwide by March 5, 2020 (1). Singapore adopted a multipronged surveillance strategy that included applying the case definition at medical consults, tracing contacts of patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19, enhancing surveillance among different patient groups (all patients with pneumonia, hospitalized patients in intensive care units [ICUs] with possible infectious diseases, primary care patients with influenza-like illness, and deaths from possible infectious etiologies), and allowing clinician discretion (i.e., option to order a test based on clinical suspicion, even if the case definition was not met) to identify COVID-19 patients. Containment measures, including patient isolation and quarantine, active monitoring of contacts, border controls, and community education and precautions, were performed to minimize disease spread. As of March 5, 2020, a total of 117 COVID-19 cases had been identified in Singapore. This report analyzes the first 100 COVID-19 patients in Singapore to determine the effectiveness of the surveillance and containment measures. COVID-19 patients were classified by the primary means by which they were detected. Application of the case definition and contact tracing identified 73 patients, 16 were detected by enhanced surveillance, and 11 were identified by laboratory testing based on providers' clinical discretion. Effectiveness of these measures was assessed by calculating the 7-day moving average of the interval from symptom onset to isolation in hospital or quarantine, which indicated significant decreasing trends for both local and imported COVID-19 cases. Rapid identification and isolation of cases, quarantine of close contacts, and active monitoring of other contacts have been effective in suppressing expansion of the outbreak and have implications for other countries experiencing outbreaks.

摘要

2019 年 12 月,中国武汉首次报告了 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19),此后该病毒在全球范围内传播,截至 2020 年 3 月 5 日,全球已确诊超过 95000 例 COVID-19 病例(1)。新加坡采取了多管齐下的监测策略,包括在医疗咨询中应用病例定义,追踪实验室确诊 COVID-19 患者的接触者,加强对不同患者群体的监测(所有患有肺炎的患者、可能患有传染病的 ICU 住院患者、患有流感样疾病的初级保健患者和可能由传染病引起的死亡),并允许临床医生根据临床怀疑(即使不符合病例定义)选择进行检测,以确定 COVID-19 患者。为了最大限度地减少疾病传播,采取了控制措施,包括患者隔离和检疫、主动监测接触者、边境管制以及社区教育和预防措施。截至 2020 年 3 月 5 日,新加坡共发现 117 例 COVID-19 病例。本报告分析了新加坡的前 100 例 COVID-19 患者,以确定监测和控制措施的有效性。COVID-19 患者按主要检测方式进行分类。应用病例定义和接触者追踪发现了 73 例患者,16 例通过加强监测发现,11 例根据提供者的临床判断通过实验室检测发现。通过计算从症状出现到住院或隔离的 7 天移动平均值来评估这些措施的有效性,这表明本地和输入性 COVID-19 病例均呈显著下降趋势。快速识别和隔离病例、对密切接触者进行检疫以及对其他接触者进行主动监测,对于抑制疫情的扩大非常有效,并对其他爆发疫情的国家具有启示意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/91ef/7739977/4672aad3df6b/mm6911e1-F1.jpg

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