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经济增长与能源相关 CO 排放的脱钩:以孟加拉国为例。

Decoupling of energy-related CO emissions from economic growth: a case study of Bangladesh.

机构信息

School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, 100081, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Jun;27(17):20844-20860. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08541-6. Epub 2020 Apr 4.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-020-08541-6
PMID:32248420
Abstract

The objective of this paper is to appraise the decomposition along with decoupling elements that affected the nexus between energy-related CO emissions and the economic development of Bangladesh by applying the logarithmic mean Divisia index and Tapio model. The paper provides an effective policy that will enable Bangladesh to improve its environmental aspect and stimulate sustainable economic development. The analysis comprehends three economic sectors, and the decoupling determinative is fragmented into five elements. The results revealed that Bangladesh achieved weak decoupling throughout the analysis cycles except between the cycles of 1990-1991, 1992-1993, 1995-1996, 1997-1999, 2003-2004, 2012-2013, and 2015-2017 in which a strong decoupling occurred. From the disintegration of various components' frame of reference, it can be seen that change in scale effect causes a substantial increase in carbon emissions and economic structure together, whereas energy intensity plays an imperceptible role in the increase in carbon emissions. On the other hand, the emission is the only element that is responsible for a decrease in carbon emissions. From a comparative sectoral analysis point of view, scale effects are liable for increasing carbon emissions in all three sectors. Hence, precautionary information campaign should be taken to communicate a comprehensive countrywide moderation strategy and appropriate modification engagements for initiating a low-carbon community.

摘要

本文旨在应用对数平均迪氏指数和泰珀模型,评估影响孟加拉国能源相关二氧化碳排放与经济发展关系的分解和脱钩因素。本文提供了一项有效的政策建议,使孟加拉国能够改善其环境方面,并促进可持续经济发展。该分析涵盖了三个经济部门,脱钩决定因素分为五个要素。结果表明,除了 1990-1991、1992-1993、1995-1996、1997-1999、2003-2004、2012-2013 和 2015-2017 这几个周期外,孟加拉国在整个分析周期内都实现了弱脱钩,在这几个周期内出现了强脱钩。从各个组成部分的框架的细分来看,可以看出规模效应的变化导致碳排放量和经济结构的大幅增加,而能源强度在碳排放量的增加中几乎没有作用。另一方面,排放是唯一导致碳排放量减少的因素。从部门间比较分析的角度来看,所有三个部门的规模效应都容易导致碳排放量的增加。因此,应采取预防性的宣传运动,以传达全面的全国性适度战略和适当的调整措施,以建立低碳社区。

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