, Aydın, Turkey.
Faculty of Economics and Administration Sciences, Adnan Menderes University, Aydın, Turkey.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Nov;26(31):32080-32091. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-06359-5. Epub 2019 Sep 6.
This study focuses on CO emission trends and its decompositions as well as decoupling performance between CO emissions and economic growth of Turkish case for the period of 1990-2016. The drivers of CO emission changes are calculated by using an extended Kaya identity and the well-established logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) method. Decomposition results indicate that economic growth and population effects are the main driving forces in increases in carbon emissions in Turkey throughout the whole period, while other technology-based driving factors' impacts have been rather minimal in reducing the emissions. Decoupling analysis results demonstrate that there is either no decoupling or weak decoupling in most of the years. Moreover, total decoupling effort index suggests that Turkey's performance has been worsened in recent years as we found no decoupling between CO emissions and economic growth over the period of 2013-2016. The overall findings suggest that Turkish economic growth is unsustainable both environmentally and economically. Based on these findings, some policy implications and recommendations are discussed for the possible emission reductions.
本研究聚焦于土耳其 1990-2016 年期间 CO 排放趋势及其分解，以及 CO 排放与经济增长之间的脱钩表现。利用扩展的 Kaya 恒等式和成熟的对数平均迪氏指数（LMDI）方法，计算 CO 排放变化的驱动因素。分解结果表明，在整个时期内，经济增长和人口效应是土耳其碳排放增加的主要驱动因素，而其他基于技术的驱动因素的影响在减排方面微不足道。脱钩分析结果表明，在大多数年份中，要么没有脱钩，要么脱钩程度很弱。此外，总脱钩努力指数表明，近年来土耳其的表现有所恶化，因为我们发现 2013-2016 年期间 CO 排放与经济增长之间没有脱钩。总体研究结果表明，土耳其的经济增长在环境和经济方面都是不可持续的。基于这些发现，针对可能的减排措施，讨论了一些政策建议。
