Centre for Global Health Research, Usher Institute for Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Joint first authors.
J Glob Health. 2020 Jun;10(1):010801. doi: 10.7189/jogh.10.01081.
In China, childhood asthma prevalence showed a remarkable increase in the past decades. An updated epidemiological assessment of childhood asthma in China with a focus on prevalence and time trends is required.
We systematically searched three main Chinese databases and one English database to identify epidemiological studies of the prevalence of childhood asthma in China. Asthma cases were defined according to one of the five sets of Chinese diagnostic criteria which were established by the Children Respiratory Disease Group. We estimated age- and sex-specific prevalence of asthma using a multilevel mixed-effects logistic regression. We presented the time trends of asthma prevalence between 1990 and 2020 by age, sex and setting (urban rural), and also estimated the number of children affected by asthma in 2010.
In 1990, the prevalence of asthma ranged from 0.13% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.10-0.20) in rural girls aged 14 years to 1.34% (95% CI = 1.11-1.67) in urban boys aged five years. In 2010, the overall prevalence of asthma in Chinese children aged 0-14 years was 2.12% (95% CI = 1.83-2.51), corresponding to 5.16 million children living with asthma. Children aged 5-9 years were with the highest prevalence estimate of 2.65% (95% CI = 2.31-3.12) and those aged 10-14 years were with the lowest (1.48%, 95% CI = 1.26-1.78). In 2020, it is expected that this disparity will continue, with the prevalence of asthma being at the lowest level among rural girls aged 14 years (1.11%, 95% CI = 0.82-1.54) and at the highest level among urban boys aged four years (10.27%, 95% CI = 8.61-12.18). Over the 30 years (1990-2020), the prevalence of asthma in children aged 0-14 years has increased in both sexes and settings, which was consistently the lowest in rural girls and the highest in urban boys.
This study shows that childhood asthma has been increasingly prevalent in China. Asthma is more frequent in boys and in rural areas. The detailed and systematic estimates of asthma prevalence in this study constitute the best currently available basis for policymaking, planning, and allocation of health and welfare resources related to the burden of childhood asthma in China.
在中国,儿童哮喘的患病率在过去几十年中显著增加。需要对中国儿童哮喘的流行病学进行更新评估,重点关注患病率和时间趋势。
我们系统地检索了三个主要的中文数据库和一个英文数据库,以确定中国儿童哮喘患病率的流行病学研究。哮喘病例根据儿童呼吸疾病组制定的五套中国诊断标准之一进行定义。我们使用多水平混合效应逻辑回归估计哮喘的年龄和性别特异性患病率。我们展示了 1990 年至 2020 年期间哮喘患病率的时间趋势,按年龄、性别和设置(城市 农村)进行划分,并估计了 2010 年哮喘患儿的数量。
1990 年,农村女孩 14 岁时哮喘患病率为 0.13%(95%置信区间(CI)=0.10-0.20),城市男孩 5 岁时为 1.34%(95%CI=1.11-1.67)。2010 年,中国 0-14 岁儿童哮喘总患病率为 2.12%(95%CI=1.83-2.51),对应 516 万哮喘患儿。5-9 岁儿童的患病率估计最高,为 2.65%(95%CI=2.31-3.12),10-14 岁儿童的患病率最低,为 1.48%(95%CI=1.26-1.78)。2020 年,预计这种差异将继续存在,农村女孩 14 岁时哮喘患病率最低(1.11%,95%CI=0.82-1.54),城市男孩 4 岁时哮喘患病率最高(10.27%,95%CI=8.61-12.18)。在 30 年(1990-2020 年)期间,0-14 岁儿童哮喘的患病率在男女和城乡地区均有所增加,农村女孩始终最低,城市男孩始终最高。
本研究表明,儿童哮喘在中国日益流行。男孩和农村地区哮喘更为常见。本研究中对哮喘患病率的详细和系统估计为制定与中国儿童哮喘负担相关的政策、规划和卫生福利资源分配提供了最佳依据。