Lake Huron's Phosphorus Contributions to the St. Clair-Detroit River Great Lakes Connecting Channel.

The United States and Canada called for a 40% load reduction of total phosphorus from 2008 levels entering the western and central basins of Lake Erie to achieve a 6000 MTA target and help reduce its central basin hypoxia. The Detroit River is a significant source of total phosphorus to Lake Erie; it in turn has been reported to receive up to 58% of its load from Lake Huron when accounting for resuspended sediment loads previously unmonitored at the lake outlet. Key open questions are where does this additional load originate, what drives its variability, and how often does it occur. We used a hydrodynamic model, satellite images of resuspension events and ice cover, wave hindcasts, and continuous turbidity measurements at the outlet of Lake Huron to determine where in Lake Huron the undetected load originates and what drives its variability. We show that the additional sediment load, and likely phosphorus, is from wave-induced Lake Huron sediment resuspension, primarily within 30 km of the southeastern shore. When the flow is from southwest or down the center of the lake, the resuspended sediment is not detected at Canada's sampling station at the head of the St. Clair River.