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主动脉瓣置换术患者的多生物标志物死亡率预测。

Multi-biomarker mortality prediction in patients with aortic stenosis undergoing valve replacement.

机构信息

University Department for Cardiac Surgery, HELIOS Leipzig Heart Center, Leipzig, Germany.

University Department for Cardiac Surgery, HELIOS Leipzig Heart Center, Leipzig, Germany.

出版信息

J Cardiol. 2020 Aug;76(2):154-162. doi: 10.1016/j.jjcc.2020.02.019. Epub 2020 Apr 7.

DOI:10.1016/j.jjcc.2020.02.019
PMID:32273155
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The prognostic value of biomarkers in aortic stenosis (AS) remains understudied. We investigated whether a combination of biomarkers related to cardiovascular stress, inflammation, and damage is associated with mortality in patients with severe AS undergoing surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR).

METHODS

From a prospective registry of patients with severe AS referred for SAVR, 499 participants (mean age, 68 ± 8.5 years; 292 male) with available preoperative echocardiograms and biomarker data were included. Preoperative concentrations of NT-pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, and C-reactive protein were dichotomized as high or low, according to calculated cut-off values.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up time was 775 ± 410 days; 25 patients died. Only patients with elevated levels of all three biomarkers (n = 55) showed increased mortality [hazard ratio (HR), 7.26; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.52-20.93; p < 0.001; reference group, no elevated biomarkers, n = 159]. Patients with elevated levels of the three biomarkers had higher 3-year all-cause mortality (24% vs. 4.5%); this remained true after multivariable adjustment (HR, 4.08; 95% CI, 1.87-8.87; p < 0.001). Patients with EuroSCOREs (logES) >3.0% tended to exhibit a higher risk of all-cause mortality (HR, 2.19; 95% CI, 0.98-4.87; p = 0.055); the mortality rate was 12-fold higher when logES >3 was combined with the three elevated biomarkers. This combination also showed a net reclassification improvement of 33% and significant likelihood-ratio test results.

CONCLUSIONS

A multiple biomarker approach might be useful for predicting postoperative mid-term mortality in patients with severe AS undergoing SAVR. Further large-scale prospective validation should be performed.

摘要

目的

生物标志物在主动脉瓣狭窄(AS)中的预后价值仍有待研究。我们研究了在接受主动脉瓣置换术(SAVR)的严重 AS 患者中,与心血管应激、炎症和损伤相关的生物标志物组合是否与死亡率相关。

方法

从一个接受 SAVR 的严重 AS 患者的前瞻性登记处,纳入了 499 名有术前超声心动图和生物标志物数据的参与者(平均年龄 68±8.5 岁,292 名男性)。根据计算的截断值,将 NT-pro-B 型利钠肽、高敏心肌肌钙蛋白 T 和 C 反应蛋白的术前浓度分为高或低。

结果

平均随访时间为 775±410 天;25 名患者死亡。只有三种生物标志物水平均升高的患者(n=55)死亡率增加[风险比(HR),7.26;95%置信区间(CI),2.52-20.93;p<0.001;参考组,无升高的生物标志物,n=159]。三种生物标志物水平升高的患者 3 年全因死亡率更高(24% vs. 4.5%);这在多变量调整后仍然成立(HR,4.08;95%CI,1.87-8.87;p<0.001)。EuroSCOREs(logES)>3.0%的患者倾向于表现出更高的全因死亡率风险(HR,2.19;95%CI,0.98-4.87;p=0.055);当 logES>3 与三种升高的生物标志物结合时,死亡率增加了 12 倍。这种组合还显示了 33%的净重新分类改善和显著的似然比检验结果。

结论

在接受 SAVR 的严重 AS 患者中,多种生物标志物方法可能有助于预测术后中期死亡率。应进一步进行大规模前瞻性验证。

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