Mann R E, Anglin L
Addiction Research Foundation, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Accid Anal Prev. 1988 Dec;20(6):441-6. doi: 10.1016/0001-4575(88)90042-5.
In this research, the impact of per capita consumption of alcohol on alcohol-related traffic fatalities in Ontario between 1957 and 1983 was examined. Three measures of alcohol involvement were selected. The first, drinking drivers (police reported) involved in fatal accidents, was a direct measure. The second and third, single-vehicle fatal accidents and nighttime fatal accidents, were surrogate measures. Also, three corresponding measures of fatal accidents not involving alcohol (normal drivers [police reported] involved in fatal accidents, multiple vehicle fatal accidents, and daytime fatal accidents) were chosen to control for general road safety trends. The results of regression analyses indicated that both per capita consumption and general road safety trends were significant contributors to all three measures of alcohol-involved fatalities. These and other recent data suggest that any effort to prevent alcohol-related problems such as liver cirrhosis through control of per capita consumption will also have a beneficial impact on alcohol-related accidents.
在本研究中，考察了1957年至1983年间安大略省人均酒精消费量对与酒精相关的交通死亡事故的影响。选取了三项酒精参与度的衡量指标。第一项，涉及致命事故的饮酒司机（警方报告），是一项直接衡量指标。第二项和第三项，单车致命事故和夜间致命事故，是替代指标。此外，还选择了三项不涉及酒精的致命事故的相应衡量指标（涉及致命事故的正常司机[警方报告]、多车致命事故和白天致命事故），以控制总体道路安全趋势。回归分析结果表明，人均消费量和总体道路安全趋势都是所有三项与酒精相关的致命事故衡量指标的重要促成因素。这些数据以及其他近期数据表明，通过控制人均消费量来预防诸如肝硬化等与酒精相关问题的任何努力，也将对与酒精相关的事故产生有益影响。
