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[2005 - 2017年中国布鲁氏菌病重复报告分析]

[Analysis on duplicated reporting of brucellosis in China, 2005-2017].

作者信息

Dong S B, Li Y F, Jiang H, Zhang C H, Fan M G, Li Y X, Ren X, Geng M J, Li Z J, Wang L P

机构信息

Division of Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Key Laboratory of Surveillance and Early Warning on Infectious Disease, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.

Public Health Surveillance and Information Service Center, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China.

出版信息

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2020 Mar 10;41(3):389-394. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2020.03.021.

DOI:10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-6450.2020.03.021
PMID:32294841
Abstract

To analyze the current status of duplicated reporting of brucellosis in China during 2005-2017, to understand the impact of duplicated reporting on the incidence of brucellosis, analyze the possible causes of duplicated reporting, and put forward propose solutions to further improve the brucellosis surveillance data quality. Data were from brucellosis case reporting cards in National Notifiable Disease Report System (NNDRS), Excel 2010 software was used to establish the database, the duplicated reporting was identified by using Spark DataFrame aggregation analysis in Python 3.2. During 2005-2017, a total of 499 577 cases of brucellosis were reported, but the duplicated reporting rate was 75.76/10 000 (3 785/499 577). The duplicated reporting rate in same year was 37.21/10 000 (1 859/499 577), the duplicated reporting rate in other year was 39.87/10 000 (1 992/499 577) and the overall duplicated reporting rate increased year by year. The duplicated reporting rate in same institution was 33.59 (1 271/3 785) and the duplicated reporting rate by other institutions was 66.41 (2 514/3 785). Hospitals had the highest number of duplicated reporting (2 757), and community healthcare centers had the highest of duplicated reporting rate (281.27/10 000) (123/4 373). The reported incidence of brucellosis was 2.926 4/100 000 in 2017, the corrected incidence was 2.844 8/100 000 after removing the duplicated reporting, which was the maximum decrease from 2005 to 2017, the corrected incidence decreased by 2.79. From 2005 to 2017, the average reported incidence of brucellosis in Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region was 14.712 0/100 000, and the corrected incidence was 14.060 0/100 000 after removing the duplicate reporting, with a decrease by 4.43, the biggest decline in China. The average reported incidence of brucellosis in Ningxia Hui autonomous region was 13.987 1/100 000, and the corrected incidence of brucellosis was 13.662 2/100 000, with a decrease of 2.32, ranking second in China. The reasons for duplicated reporting of brucellosis included repeated medical care seeking in same or different medical institutions in same year or other year, including the repeated medical care seeking in other areas. During 2005-2017, the number of duplicated reporting of brucellosis cases was on the rise in China. Hospital and community health service centers had highest case number and rate of duplicate reporting respectively, the duplicated reporting was mainly caused by re-reporting by other institutions or in other years. The duplicated reporting of brucellosis had greatly affected the accuracy of surveillance data of brucellosis in some provinces, such as Xinjiang and Ningxia. It is recommended to further strengthen brucellosis reporting management, improve data quality of NNDRS.

摘要

分析2005 - 2017年中国布鲁氏菌病重复报告的现状,了解重复报告对布鲁氏菌病发病率的影响,分析重复报告的可能原因,并提出进一步提高布鲁氏菌病监测数据质量的解决建议。数据来源于国家法定传染病报告系统(NNDRS)中的布鲁氏菌病病例报告卡,使用Excel 2010软件建立数据库,通过Python 3.2中的Spark DataFrame聚合分析识别重复报告。2005 - 2017年,共报告布鲁氏菌病病例499577例,但重复报告率为75.76/万(3785/499577)。同年重复报告率为37.21/万(1859/499577),其他年份重复报告率为39.87/万(1992/499577),总体重复报告率逐年上升。同一机构的重复报告率为33.59(1271/3785),其他机构的重复报告率为66.41(2514/3785)。医院的重复报告病例数最多(2757例),社区卫生服务中心的重复报告率最高(281.27/万)(123/4373)。2017年报告的布鲁氏菌病发病率为2.9264/10万,去除重复报告后的校正发病率为2.8448/10万,这是2005年至2017年下降幅度最大的一次,校正发病率下降了2.79。2005年至2017年,新疆维吾尔自治区布鲁氏菌病平均报告发病率为14.7120/10万,去除重复报告后的校正发病率为14.0600/10万,下降了4.43,为全国下降幅度最大。宁夏回族自治区布鲁氏菌病平均报告发病率为13.9871/10万,布鲁氏菌病校正发病率为13.6622/10万,下降了2.32,位居全国第二。布鲁氏菌病重复报告的原因包括同年或其他年份在同一或不同医疗机构反复就诊,包括在其他地区反复就诊。2005 - 2017年,中国布鲁氏菌病病例重复报告数量呈上升趋势。医院和社区卫生服务中心的重复报告病例数和重复报告率分别最高,重复报告主要是由其他机构或其他年份的再次报告引起的。布鲁氏菌病的重复报告对新疆、宁夏等部分省份布鲁氏菌病监测数据的准确性产生了较大影响。建议进一步加强布鲁氏菌病报告管理,提高NNDRS的数据质量。

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