Vasishth Shravan
University of Potsdam, Germany.
MethodsX. 2020 Mar 3;7:100850. doi: 10.1016/j.mex.2020.100850. eCollection 2020.
A commonly used approach to parameter estimation in computational models is the so-called grid search procedure: the entire parameter space is searched in small steps to determine the parameter value that provides the best fit to the observed data. This approach has several disadvantages: first, it can be computationally very expensive; second, one optimal point value of the parameter is reported as the best fit value; we cannot quantify our uncertainty about the parameter estimate. In the main journal article that this methods article accompanies (Jäger et al., 2020, Interference patterns in subject-verb agreement and reflexives revisited: A large-sample study, Journal of Memory and Language), we carried out parameter estimation using Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC), which is a Bayesian approach that allows us to quantify our uncertainty about the parameter's values given data. This customization has the further advantage that it allows us to generate both prior and posterior predictive distributions of reading times from the cue-based retrieval model of Lewis and Vasishth, 2005.•Instead of the conventional method of using grid search, we use Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) for parameter estimation in the [4] model.•The ABC method of parameter estimation has the advantage that the uncertainty of the parameter can be quantified.
在整个参数空间中以小步长进行搜索,以确定与观测数据拟合最佳的参数值。这种方法有几个缺点:首先,计算成本可能非常高;其次,报告的参数最佳拟合值是一个最优单点值;我们无法量化参数估计的不确定性。在本方法文章所附的主要期刊文章(Jäger等人,2020年,《重新审视主谓一致和反身代词中的干扰模式:一项大样本研究》,《记忆与语言杂志》)中,我们使用近似贝叶斯计算(ABC)进行参数估计,这是一种贝叶斯方法,使我们能够在给定数据的情况下量化参数值的不确定性。这种定制还有一个进一步的优点,即它使我们能够从Lewis和Vasishth 2005年基于线索的检索模型生成阅读时间的先验和后验预测分布。
•我们在[4]模型中使用近似贝叶斯计算(ABC)进行参数估计,而不是使用传统的网格搜索方法。
•ABC参数估计方法的优点是可以量化参数的不确定性。