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院前即时检测乳酸水平可提高国家早期预警评分2对早期死亡风险分层的预后准确性:一项多中心观察性研究的结果

Prehospital Point-Of-Care Lactate Increases the Prognostic Accuracy of National Early Warning Score 2 for Early Risk Stratification of Mortality: Results of a Multicenter, Observational Study.

作者信息

Martín-Rodríguez Francisco, López-Izquierdo Raúl, Delgado Benito Juan F, Sanz-García Ancor, Del Pozo Vegas Carlos, Castro Villamor Miguel Ángel, Martín-Conty José Luis, Ortega Guillermo J

机构信息

Advanced Clinical Simulation Center, School of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, 47005 Valladolid, Spain.

Advanced Life Support Unit, Emergency Medical Services, 47007 Valladolid, Spain.

出版信息

J Clin Med. 2020 Apr 18;9(4):1156. doi: 10.3390/jcm9041156.

Abstract

The objective of this study was to assess whether the use of prehospital lactate (pLA) can increase the prognostic accuracy of the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to detect the risk of death within 48 h. A prospective, multicenter study in adults treated consecutively by the emergency medical services (EMS) included six advanced life support (ALS) services and five hospitals. Patients were assigned to one of four groups according to their risk of mortality (low, low-medium, medium, and high), as determined by the NEWS2 score. For each group, the validity of pLA in our cohort was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. In this study, 3081 participants with a median age of 69 years (Interquartile range (IQR): 54-81) were included. The two-day mortality was 4.4% (137 cases). The scale derived from the implementation of the pLA improved the capacity of the NEWS2 to discriminate low risk of mortality, with an AUC of 0.910 (95% CI: 0.87-0.94; < 0.001). The risk stratification provided by the NEWS2 can be improved by incorporating pLA measurement to more accurately predict the risk of mortality in patients with low risk.

摘要

本研究的目的是评估院前乳酸(pLA)的使用是否能提高国家早期预警评分2(NEWS2)检测48小时内死亡风险的预后准确性。一项针对由紧急医疗服务(EMS)连续治疗的成年人的前瞻性多中心研究,纳入了六个高级生命支持(ALS)服务机构和五家医院。根据NEWS2评分确定的死亡风险,将患者分为四组之一(低、低-中、中、高)。对于每组,通过受试者操作特征(ROC)曲线的曲线下面积(AUC)评估pLA在我们队列中的有效性。在本研究中,纳入了3081名参与者,中位年龄为69岁(四分位间距(IQR):54-81)。两天死亡率为4.4%(137例)。实施pLA得出的量表提高了NEWS2区分低死亡风险的能力,AUC为0.910(95%CI:0.87-0.94;P<0.001)。通过纳入pLA测量,可以改善NEWS2提供的风险分层,以更准确地预测低风险患者的死亡风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7bcc/7231108/7bd44b339de1/jcm-09-01156-g001.jpg

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