Rojas-Vallejos Jorge
Facultad de Economia y Negocios, Universidad Andres Bello, Santiago, Chile.
Medwave. 2020 Apr 8;20(3):e7876. doi: 10.5867/medwave.2020.03.7874.
This short paper focuses on the role of mathematical models to analyze the impact of pandemics on health resources and the different trade-offs that may be included in them. There is a large body of literature suggesting that mathematical modeling may be helpful to estimate how much additional equipment and infrastructure are necessary to mitigate an increase in demand for health services during a large-scale outbreak of an infectious disease. I comment on the crucial role of these models with a special focus on their strengths and limitations.
这篇短文聚焦于数学模型在分析大流行病对卫生资源的影响以及其中可能包含的不同权衡方面所起的作用。有大量文献表明,数学建模可能有助于估计在传染病大规模爆发期间,为缓解卫生服务需求增加的情况需要多少额外的设备和基础设施。我将评论这些模型的关键作用,并特别关注它们的优势和局限性。