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二氧化碳、甲烷、氧化亚氮和温室气体排放是否会影响农业?来自中国的证据。

Does carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and GHG emissions influence the agriculture? Evidence from China.

机构信息

College of Economics and Management, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou, 450002, China.

Beijing Key Laboratory of New Energy and Low Carbon Development, School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, 102206, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2020 Aug;27(23):28768-28779. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-08912-z. Epub 2020 Apr 28.

Abstract

Carbon dioxide emission and greenhouse gas emissions are considered core issue in the world that influence agricultural production and also cause climate change. The present study seeks to investigate the linkage of methane emissions, nitrous oxide emissions, carbon dioxide emission, and greenhouse gas emissions with agricultural gross domestic product in China. The long-term association was checked by using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, fully modified least squares method, and canonical cointegrating regression analysis. The results from long-run analysis exposed that carbon dioxide emission and greenhouse gas emissions have positive coefficients that demonstrate the long-run linkage with the agricultural gross domestic product having p values of 0.5709 and 0.3751, respectively. Similarly, results also revealed that agricultural methane emissions and agricultural nitrous oxide emissions have a negative association with the agricultural gross domestic product having p values of 0.1737 and 0.0559. China is a huge emitter of CO emission and greenhouse gas emissions. Possible conservative policies are required to form the Chinese government to tackle this challenge to decrease CO emission in order to increase agricultural production.

摘要

二氧化碳排放和温室气体排放被认为是影响农业生产和导致气候变化的世界核心问题。本研究旨在探讨中国甲烷排放、一氧化二氮排放、二氧化碳排放和温室气体排放与农业国内生产总值之间的联系。采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)边界检验方法、完全修正最小二乘法和典型协整回归分析检验了长期关联。从长期分析的结果来看,二氧化碳排放和温室气体排放具有正系数,表明与农业国内生产总值具有长期联系,其 p 值分别为 0.5709 和 0.3751。同样,结果还表明,农业甲烷排放和农业一氧化二氮排放与农业国内生产总值呈负相关,其 p 值分别为 0.1737 和 0.0559。中国是二氧化碳排放和温室气体排放的大户。中国政府可能需要采取保守政策来应对这一挑战,以减少二氧化碳排放,从而提高农业产量。

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