Tianyou Hospital, Affiliated to Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, John A. Burns School of Medicine, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii, USA.
Clin Infect Dis. 2020 Nov 19;71(16):2089-2098. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciaa539.
With evidence of sustained transmission in more than 190 countries, coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been declared a global pandemic. Data are urgently needed about risk factors associated with clinical outcomes.
A retrospective review of 323 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Wuhan was conducted. Patients were classified into 3 disease severity groups (nonsevere, severe, and critical), based on initial clinical presentation. Clinical outcomes were designated as favorable and unfavorable, based on disease progression and response to treatments. Logistic regression models were performed to identify risk factors associated with clinical outcomes, and log-rank test was conducted for the association with clinical progression.
Current standard treatments did not show significant improvement in patient outcomes. By univariate logistic regression analysis, 27 risk factors were significantly associated with clinical outcomes. Multivariate regression indicated age >65 years (P < .001), smoking (P = .001), critical disease status (P = .002), diabetes (P = .025), high hypersensitive troponin I (>0.04 pg/mL, P = .02), leukocytosis (>10 × 109/L, P < .001), and neutrophilia (>75 × 109/L, P < .001) predicted unfavorable clinical outcomes. In contrast, the administration of hypnotics was significantly associated with favorable outcomes (P < .001), which was confirmed by survival analysis.
Hypnotics may be an effective ancillary treatment for COVID-19. We also found novel risk factors, such as higher hypersensitive troponin I, predicted poor clinical outcomes. Overall, our study provides useful data to guide early clinical decision making to reduce mortality and improve clinical outcomes of COVID-19.
由于 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)在 190 多个国家持续传播,已被宣布为全球大流行。目前急需有关与临床结局相关的危险因素的数据。
对武汉 323 例住院 COVID-19 患者进行回顾性分析。根据初始临床表现,患者分为 3 个疾病严重程度组(非重症、重症和危重症)。根据疾病进展和治疗反应,将临床结局指定为有利和不利。采用逻辑回归模型确定与临床结局相关的危险因素,并采用对数秩检验评估与临床进展的关系。
目前的标准治疗方法并未显著改善患者的结局。通过单因素逻辑回归分析,有 27 个危险因素与临床结局显著相关。多因素回归分析表明,年龄>65 岁(P<.001)、吸烟(P=0.001)、危重症状态(P=0.002)、糖尿病(P=0.025)、高敏肌钙蛋白 I (>0.04pg/mL,P=0.02)、白细胞增多症(>10×109/L,P<.001)和中性粒细胞增多症(>75×109/L,P<.001)预测临床结局不良。相反,催眠药的使用与有利的结局显著相关(P<.001),生存分析也证实了这一点。
催眠药可能是 COVID-19 的一种有效辅助治疗方法。我们还发现了一些新的危险因素,如较高的高敏肌钙蛋白 I 预测临床结局不良。总体而言,我们的研究提供了有用的数据,以指导早期临床决策,降低死亡率并改善 COVID-19 的临床结局。