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瑞士 COVID-19 疫情的繁殖数,重点关注巴塞尔城市州和巴塞尔乡村州。

Reproductive number of the COVID-19 epidemic in Switzerland with a focus on the Cantons of Basel-Stadt and Basel-Landschaft.

机构信息

Department of Biosystems Science and Engineering, ETH Zürich, Switzerland / Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, Basel, Switzerland.

Department of Sport, Exercise and Health, University of Basel, Switzerland.

出版信息

Swiss Med Wkly. 2020 May 4;150:w20271. doi: 10.4414/smw.2020.20271.

DOI:10.4414/smw.2020.20271
PMID:32365217
Abstract

The reproductive number in Switzerland was between 1.5 and 2 during the first third of March, and has consistently decreased to around 1. After the announcement of the latest strict measure on 20 March 2020, namely that gatherings of more than five people in public spaces are prohibited, the reproductive number dropped significantly below 1; the authors of this study estimate the reproductive number to be between 0.6 and 0.8 in the first third of April.

摘要

瑞士的繁殖数在三月的前三周介于 1.5 和 2 之间,此后持续下降到 1 左右。在 2020 年 3 月 20 日宣布最新的严格措施,即禁止在公共场所聚集超过五人之后,繁殖数显著下降至 1 以下;本研究的作者估计在四月的前三周繁殖数在 0.6 到 0.8 之间。

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