National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Institute, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
Department of Science and Technology Management, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2020 Oct;35(10):1761-1768. doi: 10.1111/jgh.15090. Epub 2020 May 24.
This study aimed to evaluate effects of endoscopic screening method in different starting age groups and further confirm the optimum starting age for esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) screening.
This study received institutional review board approval, and 6825 residents aged 40 to 69 years in high prevalence communities were assigned to the screening group or the control (non-screening) group from Hebei, China. Cumulative mortalities during the 14-year period, relative risk for participants who underwent screening, and numbers needed to invite for screening to save one life were compared between the screening group and the control group of different starting age groups at 14-year follow-up.
The 14-year risks of ESCC mortality were one in 55, one in 17, and one in 9 for a person screened in the starting age group of 40, 50, and 60 years old. The cumulative mortalities of ESCC in screening groups were significantly lower than control groups in starting age groups of 40 years (1.42% vs 2.38%, P = 0.033) and 50 years (4.18% vs 7.13%, P = 0.005). Relative risks for participants who underwent screening were 0.60 and 0.59 for the starting age groups of 40 and 50 years. Numbers needed to invite for screening to save one life were 104 and 34 for participants in 40 years old group and 50 years old group, respectively.
In conclusion, people in high prevalence area of ESCC should have endoscopy screening once at their 50 years. Forty years will be preferably defined as the starting age for screening in areas with sufficient health resources.
本研究旨在评估不同起始年龄组内镜筛查方法的效果,并进一步确定食管鳞状细胞癌(ESCC)筛查的最佳起始年龄。
本研究获得了机构审查委员会的批准,将来自中国河北的 6825 名年龄在 40 至 69 岁的居民分配到筛查组或对照组(非筛查组)。在 14 年的随访中,比较了不同起始年龄组的筛查组和对照组在 14 年内的累计死亡率、接受筛查者的相对风险以及为挽救一人生命需要邀请筛查的人数。
40 岁、50 岁和 60 岁起始年龄组筛查者的 ESCC 死亡 14 年风险分别为 1/55、1/17 和 1/9。筛查组的 ESCC 累积死亡率明显低于 40 岁(1.42%比 2.38%,P=0.033)和 50 岁(4.18%比 7.13%,P=0.005)起始年龄组的对照组。40 岁和 50 岁起始年龄组接受筛查者的相对风险分别为 0.60 和 0.59。为挽救一人生命,40 岁组和 50 岁组分别需要邀请 104 人和 34 人进行筛查。
总之,ESCC 高发地区的人群应在 50 岁时进行内镜筛查。在有足够卫生资源的地区,40 岁将被优选定义为筛查的起始年龄。