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吸烟与帕金森病风险:3 万名英国男医生 65 年随访研究。

Tobacco smoking and the risk of Parkinson disease: A 65-year follow-up of 30,000 male British doctors.

机构信息

From the Clinical Trial Service Unit and Epidemiological Studies Unit (B.M.-K., H.P., S.L., J.K., R.G., R.C., R.P.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford; and Medical Research Council Population Health Research Unit (H.P., S.L.), Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Neurology. 2020 May 19;94(20):e2132-e2138. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000009437. Epub 2020 May 5.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the causal relevance of current tobacco smoking for the risk of Parkinson disease (PD).

METHODS

We compared the risks of death from PD with smoking habits in 30,000 male doctors in the British Doctors cohort study in 1951 and in survivors who had been resurveyed periodically for 5 decades. Cause-specific mortality was monitored for 65 years and included 283 deaths from PD. The relative risks (RRs) of PD (and 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) were estimated using Cox models for smoking habits (smoking status, amount smoked, and years since quitting) at baseline or updated habits at resurvey.

RESULTS

The prevalence of current smoking declined progressively during follow-up from 67% to 8% between 1951 and 1998. The crude rates of PD death were lower in current smokers than in never smokers at baseline (30 vs 46/100,000 persons-years). After adjustment for age at risk, current smokers at baseline had a 30% lower risk of PD (RR 0.71; 95% CI 0.60-0.84), and continuing smokers classified using updated smoking habits at resurvey had a 40% lower risk (RR 0.60; 95% CI 0.46-0.77) of PD compared with never smokers. The risks of PD were inversely associated with the amount of tobacco smoked. The protective effect of current smoking vs never smoking for PD was attenuated by increasing duration since quitting smoking.

CONCLUSIONS

In contrast to previous suggestions, the present report demonstrates a causally protective effect of current smoking on the risk of PD, which may provide insights into the etiology of PD.

摘要

目的

研究当前吸烟与帕金森病(PD)风险之间的因果关系。

方法

我们比较了英国医生队列研究中 30000 名男性医生在 1951 年的吸烟习惯与 50 年来定期接受重新调查的幸存者的 PD 死亡风险。对特定病因死亡率进行了 65 年的监测,包括 283 例 PD 死亡病例。使用 Cox 模型估计了基线吸烟习惯(吸烟状况、吸烟量和戒烟年限)或重新调查时更新的吸烟习惯与 PD(和 95%置信区间[CI])的相对风险(RR)之间的关系。

结果

在随访期间,当前吸烟的流行率从 1951 年到 1998 年逐渐下降,从 67%降至 8%。与从不吸烟者相比,基线时的当前吸烟者的 PD 死亡率较低(30 比 46/100000 人年)。在校正了风险年龄后,基线时的当前吸烟者 PD 风险降低了 30%(RR 0.71;95%CI 0.60-0.84),而重新调查时根据更新的吸烟习惯分类的持续吸烟者 PD 风险降低了 40%(RR 0.60;95%CI 0.46-0.77),与从不吸烟者相比。PD 的风险与吸烟量呈负相关。与从不吸烟相比,当前吸烟对 PD 的保护作用随着戒烟时间的延长而减弱。

结论

与之前的建议相反,本报告表明当前吸烟对 PD 风险具有因果保护作用,这可能为 PD 的病因学提供了新的见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/552b/7526668/0eccec281f68/NEUROLOGY2019008169FF1.jpg

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