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在全球范围内对恰加斯病媒介的气候适宜性进行建模。

Modelling the climatic suitability of Chagas disease vectors on a global scale.

机构信息

Goethe University, Institute for Ecology, Evolution and Diversity, Frankfurt, Germany.

Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre, Senckenberg Gesellschaft für Naturforschung, Frankfurt, Germany.

出版信息

Elife. 2020 May 6;9:e52072. doi: 10.7554/eLife.52072.

DOI:10.7554/eLife.52072
PMID:32374263
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7237218/
Abstract

The Triatominae are vectors for , the aetiological agent of the neglected tropical Chagas disease. Their distribution stretches across Latin America, with some species occurring outside of the Americas. In particular, the cosmopolitan vector, , has already been detected in many Asian and African countries. We applied an ensemble forecasting niche modelling approach to project the climatic suitability of 11 triatomine species under current climate conditions on a global scale. Our results revealed potential hotspots of triatomine species diversity in tropical and subtropical regions between 21°N and 24°S latitude. We also determined the climatic suitability of two temperate species (, ) in Europe, western Australia and New Zealand. has been projected to find climatically suitable conditions in large parts of coastal areas throughout Latin America, Africa and Southeast Asia, emphasising the importance of an international vector surveillance program in these regions.

摘要

锥蝽是 的载体, 是被忽视的热带锥虫病的病原体。它们的分布范围横跨拉丁美洲,有些物种也存在于美洲以外的地区。特别是世界性的传播媒介 ,已经在许多亚洲和非洲国家被发现。我们应用了一个集成预测生态位模型方法,在全球范围内预测了 11 种锥蝽在当前气候条件下的气候适宜性。我们的研究结果表明,在 21°N 至 24°S 之间的热带和亚热带地区,可能存在着锥蝽物种多样性的热点。我们还确定了两种温带物种( 和 )在欧洲、澳大利亚西部和新西兰的气候适宜性。 被预测在拉丁美洲、非洲和东南亚的大部分沿海地区找到气候适宜的条件,这强调了在这些地区开展国际媒介监测计划的重要性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2351/7237218/b4ba77f24370/elife-52072-fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2351/7237218/95c7e02ae2b9/elife-52072-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2351/7237218/10de1418a042/elife-52072-fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2351/7237218/b4ba77f24370/elife-52072-fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2351/7237218/95c7e02ae2b9/elife-52072-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2351/7237218/10de1418a042/elife-52072-fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2351/7237218/b4ba77f24370/elife-52072-fig3.jpg

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