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利用仿真建模指导女童子军“勇敢与健康”项目的设计。

Using Simulation Modeling to Guide the Design of the Girl Scouts Fierce & Fit Program.

机构信息

Public Health Informatics, Computational, and Operations Research (PHICOR), City University of New York Graduate School of Public Health and Health Policy, New York, New York, USA.

Girl Scouts of Central Maryland, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.

出版信息

Obesity (Silver Spring). 2020 Jul;28(7):1317-1324. doi: 10.1002/oby.22827. Epub 2020 May 7.

DOI:10.1002/oby.22827
PMID:32378341
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7311310/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The study aim was to help the Girl Scouts of Central Maryland evaluate, quantify, and potentially modify the Girl Scouts Fierce & Fit program.

METHODS

From 2018 to 2019, our Public Health Informatics, Computational, and Operations Research team developed a computational simulation model representing the 250 adolescent girls participating in the Fierce & Fit program and how their diets and physical activity affected their BMI and subsequent outcomes, including costs.

RESULTS

Changing the Fierce & Fit program from a 6-week program meeting twice a week, with 5 minutes of physical activity each session, to a 12-week program meeting twice a week with 30 minutes of physical activity saved an additional $84,828 ($80,130-$89,526) in lifetime direct medical costs, $81,365 ($76,528-$86,184) in lifetime productivity losses, and 7.85 (7.38-8.31) quality-adjusted life-years. The cost-benefit of implementing this program was $95,943. Based on these results, the Girl Scouts of Central Maryland then implemented these changes in the program.

CONCLUSIONS

This is an example of using computational modeling to help evaluate and revise the design of a program aimed at increasing physical activity among girls.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在帮助马里兰州中部女童子军评估、量化并可能修改女童子军“勇猛与健康”项目。

方法

2018 年至 2019 年,我们的公共卫生信息学、计算与运营研究团队开发了一个计算模拟模型,该模型代表了参与“勇猛与健康”项目的 250 名少女,以及她们的饮食和体育活动如何影响其 BMI 以及随后的结果,包括成本。

结果

将“勇猛与健康”项目从每周两次、每次 5 分钟体育活动的 6 周方案改为每周两次、每次 30 分钟体育活动的 12 周方案,可节省 84828 美元(80130-89526 美元)的终身直接医疗费用、81365 美元(76528-86184 美元)的终身生产力损失和 7.85(7.38-8.31)个质量调整生命年。实施该方案的成本效益为 95943 美元。基于这些结果,马里兰州中部女童子军随后对该方案进行了这些更改。

结论

这是使用计算建模来帮助评估和修改旨在增加女孩体育活动的方案设计的一个示例。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7dae/7311310/8548fab00124/nihms-1582505-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7dae/7311310/6cd019556705/nihms-1582505-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7dae/7311310/8398a25a28c7/nihms-1582505-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7dae/7311310/8548fab00124/nihms-1582505-f0003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7dae/7311310/6cd019556705/nihms-1582505-f0001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7dae/7311310/8398a25a28c7/nihms-1582505-f0002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7dae/7311310/8548fab00124/nihms-1582505-f0003.jpg

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