Cole T J
Department of Population, Policy and Practice Research and Teaching, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK.
Ann Hum Biol. 2020 Mar;47(2):181-198. doi: 10.1080/03014460.2020.1717615.
James Tanner emphasised the "tempo" of growth, i.e. the adolescent spurt as summarised by its timing (age at peak velocity or APV) and intensity (peak velocity, PV). The paper applies the SITAR growth curve model to pubertal growth data with the aim of clarifying the growth pattern across multiple measurements and the spectrum of APV and PV. Data for 7-20 years on ten anthropometric measurements in 619 children from the Harpenden Growth Study, and on height in 10410 children from the ALSPAC study, were analysed using SITAR (SuperImposition by Translation And Rotation). SITAR models pubertal growth as a mean curve with APV and PV fitted as subject-specific random effects, and a random measurement intercept. Mean APV for Harpenden girls and boys averaged 12.0 and 13.9 years across the ten measurements. PV expressed as percent per year lay in the narrow range 4-8%. Splitting the ALSPAC subjects into 9 by 5 APV and PV groups and fitting separate SITAR models to each group confirmed SITAR's good fit while highlighting the spectrum of growth patterns. SITAR works well to summarise pubertal growth. The disappointment is that Tanner did not live to see it in action.
詹姆斯·坦纳强调了生长的“节奏”,即青春期生长突增,其可通过时间(峰值速度年龄或APV)和强度(峰值速度,PV)来概括。本文将SITAR生长曲线模型应用于青春期生长数据,目的是阐明多次测量的生长模式以及APV和PV的范围。使用SITAR(平移和旋转叠加法)分析了来自哈彭登生长研究的619名儿童7至20岁时十项人体测量数据,以及来自阿冯纵向父母与儿童研究(ALSPAC)的10410名儿童的身高数据。SITAR将青春期生长模拟为一条平均曲线,将APV和PV作为个体特异性随机效应进行拟合,并设有一个随机测量截距。在这十项测量中,哈彭登女孩和男孩的平均APV分别为12.0岁和13.9岁。以每年百分比表示的PV在4 - 8%的狭窄范围内。将ALSPAC研究对象按APV和PV分为9×5组,并对每组拟合单独的SITAR模型,证实了SITAR的良好拟合效果,同时突出了生长模式的范围。SITAR在总结青春期生长方面表现良好。令人遗憾的是,坦纳没能活到看到它付诸实践的那一天。