Texas A&M University-San Antonio, TX, USA.
Int J Offender Ther Comp Criminol. 2021 Sep;65(12):1316-1334. doi: 10.1177/0306624X20923255. Epub 2020 May 26.
This multiyear study of felony driving while intoxicated (DWI) probationers explores the efficacy of the Wisconsin Risk Need Assessment tool along with sociodemographic factors as measures of probation outcomes. To date, few studies have explored the relationship between risk assessment data and technical violations as well as subsequent arrests of individuals on probation. The sample for this study consists of 596 chronic DWI offenders on community supervision in one county who either had been rearrested for a new offense, violated a technical condition of their probation, or committed no violations within the first 5 years of community supervision. The findings are that older defendants and those who had more dependents were more likely to have committed a technical violation compared with the other two groups. Those rearrested for a new offense were slightly younger compared with the other two groups, less likely to be employed and younger at the age of first adjudication of guilt. This study highlights the limited overall utility of the Wisconsin tool in determining probation outcomes and that static factors may be as important as dynamic factors when developing a supervision strategy for chronic DWI offenders.
这项对多年来犯有醉酒驾驶重罪（DWI）的缓刑犯的研究探讨了威斯康星风险需求评估工具以及社会人口因素作为缓刑结果衡量标准的效果。迄今为止，很少有研究探讨风险评估数据与技术违规以及随后对缓刑犯的逮捕之间的关系。本研究的样本包括一个县的 596 名在社区监督下的慢性 DWI 罪犯，他们要么因新的犯罪行为而再次被捕，要么违反了缓刑的技术条件，要么在社区监督的头 5 年内没有任何违规行为。研究结果表明，与其他两组相比，年龄较大的被告和有更多家属的被告更有可能违反技术条件。因新的犯罪行为而被捕的人比其他两组稍年轻，不太可能有工作，并且首次被判有罪时年龄较小。这项研究强调了威斯康星工具在确定缓刑结果方面的有限总体效用，并且在为慢性 DWI 罪犯制定监督策略时，静态因素可能与动态因素同样重要。
